Namaskar Sir, I am 30 years old and want to start SIP @10,000/-pm in Mid cap mutual fund for next 30 years for a target of Rs 20 Cr (18-20%/year).
You are requested to guide me about risks may come in future in MF industry and risk regarding sustainability of the fund house for next 30 years.
Ans: Investing Rs. 10,000 monthly in a mid-cap mutual fund is a commendable strategy. It shows your commitment to achieving a robust corpus of Rs. 20 crore in 30 years. However, there are risks and considerations to address.
1. Potential Risks in the Mutual Fund Industry
Market Volatility
Mid-cap funds are more volatile than large-cap funds.
Short-term fluctuations can impact returns during market corrections.
Economic Slowdowns
Economic instability can adversely affect mid-cap stocks.
Such slowdowns could lower the growth trajectory of the fund.
Regulatory Changes
SEBI and government regulations may impact mutual fund operations.
For example, changes in taxation or investment limits can affect returns.
Inflation Risk
Inflation can erode purchasing power and real returns over 30 years.
This risk must be factored into your long-term goal.
2. Risks of Fund House Sustainability
Fund House Stability
A fund house with a poor track record may not survive for 30 years.
Choose an established and reputed fund house with strong governance.
Fund Manager Risk
Performance depends on fund manager decisions.
Manager changes may impact the strategy and consistency of the fund.
Operational Risks
Fund houses may face risks like technology failures or poor compliance.
Verify the operational strength and risk management policies of the fund house.
3. Realistic Return Expectations
Expecting 18-20% annualised returns over 30 years is optimistic.
Historical data shows mid-cap funds average around 12-15% returns.
Relying on higher returns can lead to unrealistic expectations.
4. Diversification for Stability
Do not rely solely on mid-cap funds for your goal.
Diversify with large-cap or flexi-cap funds to reduce volatility.
Balanced funds can provide a mix of growth and stability.
5. Importance of Periodic Review
Monitor your SIP performance regularly, at least once a year.
Assess fund performance against benchmarks and peers.
Make necessary adjustments to align with your goals.
6. Role of Active Fund Management
Actively managed funds can outperform benchmarks during volatile markets.
Fund managers actively track market changes and rebalance portfolios.
This approach offers an edge over passively managed index funds.
7. Tax Implications on Returns
Long-term capital gains (LTCG) above Rs. 1.25 lakh are taxed at 12.5%.
Short-term capital gains (STCG) are taxed at 20%.
Understanding tax implications helps plan withdrawals effectively.
8. 360-Degree Financial Planning
Emergency Fund
Maintain an emergency fund covering 6-12 months of expenses.
This ensures financial stability during unforeseen situations.
Adequate Insurance
Secure yourself with adequate life and health insurance.
Avoid using ULIPs or investment-linked insurance for this purpose.
Retirement Planning
Parallelly invest in retirement-specific instruments for long-term security.
Diversify your portfolio to include stable growth options.
Education and Marriage
Plan separate investments for future education and marriage expenses.
Diversify investments to balance risk across different life goals.
Finally
Mid-cap funds are a promising option for wealth creation, but they come with risks. Diversify, review periodically, and adjust your strategy as needed. Consult a Certified Financial Planner to build a robust, long-term investment plan tailored to your goals.
Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,
Chief Financial Planner,
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment