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Worried about Negative SIP XIRR? Should I Invest More or Do Something Else?

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7605 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Jan 22, 2025

Ramalingam Kalirajan has over 23 years of experience in mutual funds and financial planning.
He has an MBA in finance from the University of Madras and is a certified financial planner.
He is the director and chief financial planner at Holistic Investment, a Chennai-based firm that offers financial planning and wealth management advice.... more
Asked by Anonymous - Jan 15, 2025Hindi
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I have seen Negative XIRR in SIP right now investment done in below SIP Total value - 13500 1. ICICI prudential bluechip direct Fund growth - 1500 2. Parag Parikh Flexi cap Fund direct growth - 1000 3. ICICI prudential smallcap fund direct plan growth - 300 4. Nippon India Small cap Fund direct Growth - 200 5. SBI small cap fund direct growth - 500 6. HDFC mid cap opportunities Direct plan Growth - 5000 7. Nippon India multicap fund direct growth - 5000

Ans: A negative XIRR in SIP investments is common in the short term.

Equity markets can fluctuate, impacting returns temporarily.

SIPs work best when continued over long periods, averaging out market volatility.

Analysing Your Current Portfolio
You are investing Rs. 13,500 monthly across seven funds.

Allocation includes large-cap, flexi-cap, small-cap, mid-cap, and multi-cap categories.

This diversification is good but needs alignment with long-term goals.

Insights on Specific Fund Categories
Large-Cap Funds
Large-cap funds provide stability in volatile markets.

These funds typically deliver steady returns over time.

Flexi-Cap Funds
Flexi-cap funds balance large, mid, and small caps for flexibility.

These funds adapt to changing market conditions effectively.

Small-Cap Funds
Small-cap funds are high-risk but have high return potential.

Short-term volatility is common; hold for at least 7-10 years.

Mid-Cap Funds
Mid-cap funds offer better returns than large caps but lower risk than small caps.

These funds require patience for growth.

Multi-Cap Funds
Multi-cap funds diversify across all market capitalisations.

These funds reduce dependency on a specific market segment.

Key Observations and Recommendations
Overlapping Categories
Three small-cap funds (ICICI, Nippon, SBI) increase risk.

Reduce exposure to two small-cap funds for better balance.

Portfolio Consolidation
Too many funds dilute returns and increase tracking difficulty.

Limit to 4-5 funds for focused growth.

Direct Fund Disadvantages
Direct funds lack professional guidance from certified professionals.

Regular funds through an MFD with CFP credential provide better support.

Tax Implications for Mutual Funds
Long-term capital gains (LTCG) above Rs. 1.25 lakh are taxed at 12.5%.

Short-term capital gains (STCG) are taxed at 20%.

Plan redemptions to optimise tax liability.

SIP Strategy for the Long Term
Continue SIPs for at least 7-10 years for compounding benefits.

Do not stop SIPs during market downturns; they offer better units.

Building a Balanced Portfolio
Suggested Allocation
Large-Cap: 40% for stability and consistent growth.

Mid-Cap: 20% for moderate risk and decent returns.

Small-Cap: 10% for higher growth potential.

Flexi-Cap or Multi-Cap: 30% for flexibility and balance.

Review and Monitoring
Review portfolio performance annually.

Adjust funds if consistent underperformance is noticed.

Avoid frequent changes based on short-term market movements.

Emergency Fund and Insurance
Set aside 6 months’ expenses in a liquid fund or FD.

Ensure adequate health and life insurance coverage.

Finally
Negative XIRR now is temporary; focus on long-term goals.

Diversify wisely and reduce overlapping categories.

Stay consistent and disciplined with your SIP investments.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7605 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 17, 2024

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Hii i am investing in SIP since 1 year in ICICI prudential commodities Fund direct growth Rs200 monthly, Tata digital India und direct growth Rs150 Monthly, HDFC Technology Fund direct growth Rs100 monthly, ICICI prudential Technology direct plan growth Rs100 monthly, Nippon India Pharma fund direct growth Rs300 monthly, Nippon India small cap fund direct growth Rs300 monthly, axis nifty IT index fund direct growth Rs1000 monthly, ICICI prudential bluechip fund direct growth Rs250 monthly, Aditya Birla Sun Life digital India fund direct growth Rs100 monthly, ICICI prudential NASDAQ 100index fund direct growth Rs300 monthly, HDFC transportation and logistics fund direct growth Rs200 monthly so I invested in above SIPs Total monthly i invest Rs3000 so please give me some suggestions or modifications if required
Ans: Your Current SIP Portfolio
You have been investing ?3,000 monthly across various SIPs for a year. Your chosen funds focus on technology, healthcare, commodities, and other sectors. This shows a good start towards disciplined investing.

Concentration in Technology Sector
A significant portion of your investments is in technology-focused funds. Technology funds can offer high returns but also come with high volatility.

Sector-Specific Funds
You also have investments in healthcare, commodities, and logistics funds. Sector-specific funds can be very volatile as they depend on the performance of their respective sectors.

Diversification
Your portfolio lacks diversification. Investing too much in a single sector increases risk. Diversification helps in balancing risk and returns.

Importance of Broad Market Exposure
Diversifying across different market segments reduces risk. Balanced exposure to large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap funds is crucial. This strategy ensures you are not overly dependent on one sector's performance.

Adding Stability with Debt Funds
Including debt funds can provide stability. Debt funds offer regular returns and reduce the overall risk in your portfolio. This balance is vital for long-term growth.

Benefits of Actively Managed Funds
Actively managed funds can outperform index funds due to professional management. Fund managers actively select stocks to maximize returns. This can be advantageous, especially in volatile markets.

Disadvantages of Index Funds
Index funds mirror the market index and do not aim to outperform it. They lack flexibility in changing market conditions. Actively managed funds, on the other hand, adapt to market changes, providing better growth potential.

Direct Funds vs. Regular Funds
Direct funds have lower expense ratios but require thorough research and monitoring. Regular funds, through a Mutual Fund Distributor (MFD) with a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), offer professional guidance and management. This can be valuable for optimizing returns and managing risks effectively.

Suggested Modifications
Reduce Sector-Specific Overweight

Reduce the number of technology and sector-specific funds. This will help in balancing the portfolio and reducing sector-specific risks.

Increase Broad Market Exposure

Allocate more funds to diversified equity funds. Large-cap and multi-cap funds provide stable returns and reduce overall risk.

Include Debt Funds for Stability

Add debt or hybrid funds to your portfolio. This will provide regular returns and reduce the volatility of your overall investment.

Suggested Allocation
Technology Funds: Choose one or two funds to maintain some exposure but reduce concentration.
Broad Market Funds: Increase investment in large-cap and multi-cap funds for stable growth.
Debt Funds: Allocate a portion to debt funds for stability.
Regular Monitoring and Review
Monitor your investments regularly. Review fund performance annually and adjust your portfolio based on your financial goals and market conditions.

Conclusion
Your dedication to investing through SIPs is commendable. With a few adjustments, you can achieve a balanced and diversified portfolio. This will help you meet your long-term financial goals with reduced risk.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7605 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Sep 22, 2024

Asked by Anonymous - Sep 08, 2024Hindi
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I have invested 10k in Invesco psu equity fund which is giving me negative returns should I stop investing in psu funds at this time or reduce sip amount to 5k
Ans: Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) funds can sometimes show volatility, especially in the short term. Since you’ve noticed negative returns from your Rs. 10,000 investment, it’s understandable to feel concerned. Let’s break down the situation to help you decide whether to stop or reduce your Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) in PSU funds.

Long-Term Nature of PSU Investments
First, it’s important to appreciate that PSU funds are typically more volatile because they are heavily influenced by government policies, economic cycles, and sector-specific challenges. These funds are not known for consistent short-term returns but are better suited for long-term investors who are patient.

If your investment horizon is more than five years, you might still see recovery and positive returns as PSUs tend to perform well in certain market phases. If you reduce or stop your investment now, you may miss out on potential future gains. So, patience can be rewarding here.

Negative Returns: Short-Term Market Fluctuations or a Deeper Concern?
It is quite common to see negative returns during volatile periods. However, negative returns do not always indicate poor fund performance. The market as a whole might be going through a down phase, and PSUs tend to react more dramatically. It’s critical to evaluate the following factors before making any decisions:

Fund’s Track Record: How has the fund performed in the past, particularly over 3, 5, or 7 years? If its long-term performance is strong, then short-term negative returns are not necessarily a red flag.

Sector Outlook: Are there any changes in the sector or government policies that could impact PSU stocks? A sectoral slowdown or specific challenges for PSUs may result in underperformance for the time being.

Your Investment Horizon: If your financial goals are far off, it may make sense to continue your SIP and ride out the market fluctuations. However, if you need the money sooner, reducing your exposure could be worth considering.

Consider Diversification Over Complete Exit
If the volatility in PSU funds is a concern, you don’t need to stop investing entirely. Instead, reducing your SIP amount from Rs. 10,000 to Rs. 5,000 can be a more balanced approach. This strategy allows you to keep some exposure to PSU funds, which could benefit from sectoral rebounds in the future, while freeing up money for other more stable investments.

Reducing the SIP amount can give you peace of mind while maintaining long-term potential in your portfolio.

Benefits of Actively Managed Funds
Rather than focusing solely on PSU funds, you may want to allocate part of your investment to actively managed funds. Unlike index funds or ETFs, actively managed funds have professionals making informed decisions about which stocks to buy and sell. This gives you the benefit of market insights and adjustments based on performance. It can help stabilize your returns, as these funds are often more diversified across various sectors.

This diversification lowers the risk of overexposure to a single sector, such as PSUs. By spreading your investment across multiple sectors through actively managed funds, you can improve your portfolio’s balance.

Avoiding Index Funds and Direct Mutual Funds
It is important to understand that index funds, though cheaper, are not always the best option. They simply mimic the index and lack the flexibility to shift when market conditions change. This can expose you to more risk, especially when sectors like PSUs face challenges.

Direct mutual funds might seem like a good choice to save on commissions, but they often require extensive market knowledge. For most investors, it is better to work with a Mutual Fund Distributor (MFD) who has a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) credential. They can help you select funds that align with your financial goals and risk profile.

Alternatives for More Stability
If PSU funds are causing too much concern, you could consider reallocating part of your investment to funds with more stable returns. For example:

Balanced Advantage Funds: These funds automatically shift between equity and debt based on market conditions. They can offer a more balanced risk-return profile, making them less volatile compared to PSU-focused funds.

Debt Funds: For those who want to focus on stability, debt funds offer consistent returns with lower risk. They are a good way to generate steady income while reducing exposure to volatile sectors.

By reallocating some of your SIP into more balanced or debt-oriented funds, you can manage your risk more effectively without exiting the market altogether.

Regular Review of Your Portfolio
It’s essential to periodically review your portfolio and see how different funds are performing. While PSU funds might not be delivering now, regular assessment with the help of a Certified Financial Planner can provide you with insights on whether to hold, switch, or reduce your investments.

If the overall performance of your portfolio is aligned with your long-term goals, a short-term dip in PSU fund performance might not be a reason to panic. Staying invested through market cycles is often the best way to grow wealth over time.

Final Insights
In summary, your investment in PSU funds might be showing negative returns now, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s time to exit entirely. Here’s a quick action plan:

Evaluate the Fund’s Long-Term Performance: Don’t make decisions based on short-term dips. Look at the track record and sector outlook.

Consider Reducing, Not Stopping: Reduce your SIP to Rs. 5,000 rather than stopping entirely. This keeps you invested while freeing up money for other options.

Diversify Into Actively Managed Funds: Use part of your investment in actively managed funds for more stability and potential growth. Avoid direct mutual funds and index funds due to their limitations.

Reallocate to More Stable Funds: Consider adding balanced advantage or debt funds to reduce volatility.

Review Regularly: Keep assessing your portfolio’s performance with a CFP to stay on track.

By following these steps, you can make a more informed decision about whether to continue, reduce, or stop your SIP in PSU funds.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/holistic_investment_planners/

..Read more

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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