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Omkeshwar

Omkeshwar Singh  | Answer  |Ask -

Head, Rank MF - Answered on Nov 20, 2019

Mutual Fund Expert... more
Venkat Question by Venkat on Nov 20, 2019Hindi
Money

I have 4 mutual funds listed below:

1. HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund

2. HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund

3. Aditya Birla SL Equity Hybrid 95 Fund

4. ICICI Pru Value Discovery Fund

I have been investing in them from the past 27 months and this is a very long term investment say for my retirement. What returns can I expect after 10 years and do I need to change anything?

I have also invested lumpsum amount of 50k in:

  • Invesco India Growth Opportunity Fund
  • L&T Infrastructure Fund
  • HDFC Small Cap Fund and
  • SBI Blue Chip Fund

Except for L&T others seem to be performing well. Please advise what can be returns in next 5 years

Ans:
Name of the Fund Category RankMF Star Rating
HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund Hybrid - Balanced Advantage 4
HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund Hybrid - Aggressive Hybrid Fund 5
Aditya Birla SL Equity Hybrid 95 Fund Hybrid - Aggressive Hybrid Fund 5
ICICI PruValue Discovery Fund Equity - Value Fund 3
Lumpsum amount of 50k-  
Invesco India Growth Opportunity Fund Equity - Large & Midcap Fund 4
L&T Infrastructure Fund Equity - Sectoral Fund - Infrastructure 2
HDFC Small Cap Fund Equity - Small cap Fund 2
SBI Blue Chip Fund Equity - Large Cap Fund 4

You may continue with the 5 & 4 star rated funds and sectoral funds to be avoided presently for others can be considered from the below.

Value Funds Suitable options considering quality and value for money at present levels are Tata Equity PE Fund and UTI Value Opportunity Fund

Midcap: Suitable options considering quality and value for money at present levels are Motilal Oswal Midcap 30, DSP Midcap and Axis Midcap

Small cap: Suitable options considering quality and value for money at present levels are Kotak Small Cap and Axis Small Cap

Aggressive Hybrid: Suitable options considering quality and value for money at present levels are Axis Equity Hybrid Fund and Tata Hybrid Equity Fund

Multicap: Suitable options considering quality and value for money at present levels are UTI Equity Fund, Axis Multicap and Motilal Oswal Multicap 35

Focused: Suitable options considering quality and value for money at present levels are Axis Focused 25, Motilal Oswal Focused 25

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Hi. I want to know what type of returns can I expect from Mutual Funds over a period of 10 years. what is success ratio of mutual funds
Ans: Mutual funds can offer a range of returns over a 10-year period, depending on various factors such as the type of fund, market conditions, and investment strategy. Here's what you can generally expect:

• Equity Mutual Funds: Historically, equity mutual funds have provided higher returns compared to other asset classes over the long term. While returns can vary significantly from year to year, on average, you may expect annualized returns of around 10-12% over a 10-year period.

• Debt Mutual Funds: Debt mutual funds typically offer more stable returns compared to equity funds, albeit at lower rates. Depending on the prevailing interest rate environment and credit quality of the underlying securities, you might expect annualized returns of around 6-8% over a 10-year horizon.

• Hybrid Mutual Funds: Hybrid or balanced funds invest in a mix of equities and debt instruments, offering a balanced approach to risk and return. As a result, their returns may fall somewhere between equity and debt funds, with annualized returns of around 8-10% over 10 years.

Regarding the success ratio of mutual funds, it's essential to understand that past performance is not indicative of future results. While mutual funds aim to generate positive returns for investors, not all funds may succeed in doing so consistently. Success ratio can vary based on factors such as fund manager expertise, investment strategy, market conditions, and fund management fees.

Investors should conduct thorough research, consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance, and diversify their investments across different funds to mitigate risk. Additionally, consulting with a Certified Financial Planner or investment advisor can provide valuable insights and guidance tailored to your individual financial goals and circumstances.

Overall, while mutual funds offer the potential for attractive returns over the long term, it's essential to approach investing with a realistic outlook, diversify your portfolio, and stay invested for the duration to maximize your chances of success.

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Hi myself Arun, age 39 years, monthly income 66k, I invested in mutual funds as monthly SIP.....2000 in quant smallcap, 3000 in quant multi asset fund, 2000 in axis midcap fund, 1000 in Nippon smallcap fund and last 2000 in kotak smallcap fund.....total 10000 monthly......how much return, can I get after 10 years and the choices of mutual funds are good right now.....
Ans: Arun! It's wonderful that you are investing systematically in mutual funds. Your disciplined approach to investing Rs 10,000 monthly is commendable. This shows your commitment to building a secure financial future.

Evaluating Your Mutual Fund Choices
You have diversified your SIPs across various funds:

Small-cap funds: Rs 2,000 in one fund, Rs 2,000 in another, and Rs 1,000 in a third

Multi-asset fund: Rs 3,000

Mid-cap fund: Rs 2,000

Benefits of Small-Cap Funds
Small-cap funds can offer high growth potential but come with higher risk. These funds invest in smaller companies with significant growth prospects. However, they can be volatile and require a longer investment horizon to mitigate risks.

Advantages of Mid-Cap Funds
Mid-cap funds invest in medium-sized companies that are in the growth phase. These companies have more stability compared to small-cap companies but still offer good growth potential. Mid-cap funds can balance risk and return in your portfolio.

Multi-Asset Fund Benefits
Multi-asset funds invest in a mix of asset classes like equity, debt, and gold. This diversification reduces risk and can provide more stable returns. Investing in a multi-asset fund helps balance the overall risk of your portfolio.

Disadvantages of Index Funds
Index funds, which track a market index, cannot outperform the market. They offer average market returns and lack flexibility in managing downturns. Actively managed funds aim to outperform the market and provide better returns.

Importance of Actively Managed Funds
Actively managed funds, managed by professional fund managers, seek to outperform the market. With expert management, these funds can provide higher returns by strategically selecting investments. This active management can be beneficial, especially in volatile markets.

Disadvantages of Direct Funds
Direct funds have lower fees but lack professional advice. Investing through a Mutual Fund Distributor (MFD) with a CFP credential ensures expert guidance. This helps in selecting funds that align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.

Projecting Future Returns
Predicting exact returns is challenging due to market volatility. However, historically, equity mutual funds have delivered around 12-15% annual returns over the long term. This can vary based on market conditions and fund performance.

Balancing Risk and Return
Your portfolio is heavily tilted towards small-cap funds. While they offer high growth potential, they also carry higher risk. Consider diversifying further into large-cap or balanced funds to reduce overall risk.

Regular Review and Rebalancing
It's important to review your investments periodically. Market conditions change, and regular rebalancing ensures your portfolio remains aligned with your goals. Consulting with a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) can help optimise your investment strategy.

Conclusion
Your current investment strategy is solid, focusing on growth through diverse funds. However, balancing your portfolio to manage risk is crucial. Professional guidance can enhance your investment decisions and help achieve your financial goals.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

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Asked by Anonymous - Jun 17, 2024Hindi
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I 40 years now and Just now i have invested lumpsum amount in following mutual funds- all are direct growth 1. Quant smalcap fund - Rs 300000 2. Quant midcap fund - Rs 300000 3. Nippon India muticap - Rs 200000 4. ICICI Pru bluechip fund - Rs 200000 5. Canara rabeco emerging eqt -Rs 50000 Just now started SIP in following funds. 1. Quant smalcap fund - Rs 4000 2. Quant midcap fund - Rs 4000 3. Quant Active fund - Rs 4000 4. ICICI Pru Debt & equity -Rs 4000 5. Parag perigkh flexicap - Rs4000 Is this funds are good for long run for a period of 10 years?. How much amount I can expect after 10 years. My goal is to Construct a own house after 10 years.
Ans: Congratulations on taking a significant step toward building your financial future by investing in mutual funds. At 40, you are making a smart move by planning for your long-term goal of constructing your own house. Your current investments and SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) choices reflect a well-thought-out strategy for wealth accumulation over the next 10 years. Let's evaluate and understand the potential of your investment portfolio in detail.

Understanding Your Lump Sum Investments
Diversification Across Market Capitalization
Your lump sum investments include a mix of small-cap, mid-cap, multicap, blue-chip, and emerging equity funds. This diversification helps in spreading risk and capturing growth across different market segments.

Small-Cap and Mid-Cap Funds: These funds have high growth potential but come with higher risk. Over a 10-year period, these funds can provide significant returns if the market conditions are favorable.
Multicap and Blue-Chip Funds: These funds invest across various market capitalizations, providing a balanced approach. Blue-chip funds, specifically, offer stability as they invest in well-established companies.
Emerging Equity Fund: Investing in emerging sectors can be beneficial as these sectors have the potential for substantial growth in the future.
Potential Growth and Risks
Investing Rs 3,00,000 each in small-cap and mid-cap funds shows a high-risk appetite, which can be rewarding over the long term. The Rs 2,00,000 investments in multicap and blue-chip funds provide a cushion against volatility, balancing the portfolio. The Rs 50,000 in the emerging equity fund is a strategic move to tap into new growth areas.

Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) Contributions
Regular Investment Discipline
Starting SIPs in multiple funds ensures a disciplined approach to investing, taking advantage of rupee cost averaging and compounding benefits.

Small-Cap and Mid-Cap Funds: Continuing SIPs of Rs 4,000 each in these funds reinforces your growth strategy. Consistent investments will help mitigate market volatility over time.
Active Fund: SIP of Rs 4,000 in an active fund shows your trust in fund managers' expertise to outperform the market.
Debt & Equity Fund: This balanced approach with a Rs 4,000 SIP ensures you have a mix of stability and growth.
Flexicap Fund: A Rs 4,000 SIP here provides flexibility to invest across various market caps, enhancing diversification.
Balancing Risk and Return
Your SIPs indicate a balanced approach towards growth and stability. By investing Rs 20,000 monthly across these funds, you are steadily building your corpus, reducing the impact of market fluctuations, and benefiting from potential long-term growth.

Evaluating Your Investment Choices
Long-Term Growth Potential
Your chosen funds have the potential to grow significantly over the next 10 years. Historical data suggests that well-managed mutual funds, particularly in small-cap and mid-cap categories, can offer impressive returns. However, they are also subject to market risks.

Importance of Active Management
Actively managed funds have the advantage of fund managers making strategic decisions to maximize returns. While passive funds like index funds simply track the market, actively managed funds aim to outperform. Your choice of actively managed funds reflects a desire for potentially higher returns through expert management.

Assessing the Disadvantages of Direct Funds
Direct mutual funds have lower expense ratios since they do not involve intermediary commissions. However, without the guidance of a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), you might miss out on professional advice, which can be crucial for optimizing your investment strategy. A CFP provides valuable insights and helps in tailoring your portfolio to meet specific goals.

Expected Returns and Goal Achievement
Potential Corpus After 10 Years
Predicting exact returns is challenging due to market volatility. However, based on historical performance, equity mutual funds have the potential to yield substantial returns over a decade. Assuming a conservative average annual return, your lump sum and SIP investments can grow significantly, helping you reach your goal of constructing a house.

Importance of Regular Review
It is essential to regularly review your portfolio with your CFP. This ensures your investments remain aligned with your goals and market conditions. Adjustments may be needed to optimize performance and mitigate risks.

Benefits of Working with a Certified Financial Planner
Professional Guidance
A CFP can provide personalized advice, ensuring your investment strategy aligns with your long-term goals. Their expertise helps in navigating market complexities and making informed decisions.

Tailored Investment Strategies
CFPs consider your risk tolerance, financial goals, and market conditions to design a tailored investment plan. They help in balancing your portfolio and ensuring it adapts to changing circumstances.

Investing is a journey that requires patience and persistence. It's commendable that you are planning for a significant goal like constructing your own house. Your disciplined approach through lump sum investments and SIPs shows a strong commitment to your future. Understanding the risks and rewards associated with your chosen funds is crucial, and it's great to see you taking proactive steps.

Final Insights
Your current investment strategy, with a mix of lump sum and SIP investments in diversified mutual funds, is well-suited for long-term growth. By maintaining this approach and regularly consulting with your CFP, you are on a promising path toward achieving your goal of constructing your own house in 10 years. Stay focused, keep reviewing your portfolio, and adapt as necessary to stay on track.

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I am 33 and I have around 6.4 Lakh Invested in Axis ELSS Tax Saver Fund,3 Lakh in SBI Long Term Equity Fund, 2.2 Lakh in SBI Bluechip Fund & 1.4 Lakh in SBI Focused Equity Fund. I am also running a 30000/- monthly SIP with almost 40% of it in Smallcap segment and 20% in Gold Fund. I have a NPS Auto Choice Account of 17 Lakh with a yearly addition of 1.2 lakh. How much can all this generate by the time of my retirement?
Ans: You have a strong base already. You are only 33 years old. You have around 25 years to grow your wealth till retirement. Let us analyse your total investments and long-term potential from a 360-degree view.

We will assess every part of your portfolio, the risks, the growth potential, and how you can improve it step by step.

?

Your Present Investments in Mutual Funds

You have invested Rs. 6.4 lakh in ELSS, Rs. 3 lakh in a long-term equity fund, Rs. 2.2 lakh in a bluechip fund, and Rs. 1.4 lakh in a focused fund.

?

Your total mutual fund lumpsum investment is Rs. 13 lakh.

?

These funds are mostly equity-oriented and for long-term growth.

?

ELSS funds are locked for 3 years but give tax benefits under section 80C.

?

Your mix of ELSS, large cap and focused funds shows good diversification.

?

The focus is more towards tax saving and large cap growth.

?

This is suitable for someone with a stable income and long-term view.

?

But your fund mix should be reviewed every year.

?

Some funds may underperform over time and need replacement.

?

Active monitoring gives better results than just investing and forgetting.

?

A Certified Financial Planner can help you review and restructure if needed.

?

Continue tracking performance every 6 months to stay on track.

?

?

Your Monthly SIPs and Allocation Pattern

You are running a Rs. 30,000 SIP each month.

?

40% of it is in small cap funds.

?

20% is in gold mutual fund.

?

The rest 40% seems to be in large/multi-cap or other diversified equity funds.

?

Now let us analyse this composition:

?

40% in small cap is quite aggressive.

?

Small caps are very volatile. They can give high returns but also deep corrections.

?

Keep small cap allocation below 25% in total equity SIPs.

?

You can move some SIP amount to a balanced advantage fund.

?

Balanced funds give stability when markets are down.

?

20% in gold mutual fund is on the higher side.

?

Gold is not a compounding asset like equity.

?

Over long term, gold delivers lower return than equity.

?

Use gold only for 5-10% of total portfolio. Not more.

?

The rest 40% in equity is fine, but needs regular review.

?

Maintain SIPs in regular plans through Certified Financial Planner.

?

Direct funds give no handholding or guidance when markets fall.

?

Regular plans help you stay committed and balanced.

?

Rebalancing SIPs every 12–18 months improves returns and reduces risk.

?

?

Your National Pension System (NPS) Contribution

You have Rs. 17 lakh corpus in NPS Auto Choice.

?

You are adding Rs. 1.2 lakh per year to NPS.

?

NPS Auto Choice invests automatically in equity, debt and govt securities.

?

Your allocation will shift towards debt slowly as you age.

?

This reduces risk after age 45.

?

NPS is a good retirement asset due to long lock-in.

?

But maturity proceeds are partly taxable and partly annuity.

?

So don’t depend only on NPS for retirement.

?

Use mutual funds also to build tax-efficient corpus.

?

NPS is a supporting vehicle, not a full retirement solution.

?

?

How Much Can All These Generate Till Retirement?

Let us assume you invest for 25 more years.

?

You will add Rs. 30,000 monthly SIPs. That’s Rs. 3.6 lakh/year.

?

You will also add Rs. 1.2 lakh/year to NPS.

?

Your mutual fund lumpsum of Rs. 13 lakh continues to grow.

?

Based on long-term equity CAGR of 11% to 12%, your corpus will grow strongly.

?

In 25 years, your MF corpus alone can become several crores.

?

Your NPS corpus can also cross Rs. 1 crore to Rs. 1.5 crore.

?

Final retirement wealth can range between Rs. 3.5 crore to Rs. 5 crore or more.

?

This depends on SIP discipline, fund choice, rebalancing and staying invested.

?

Direct fund investors often lose returns due to fear and wrong decisions.

?

Regular plan investors with Certified Financial Planner stay more consistent.

?

That helps in wealth creation without panic or stopping SIPs.

?

?

Improvement Areas in Your Current Strategy

Let us now talk about areas of improvement in your plan.

?

Reduce gold fund SIP to 5% or 10%. Use rest in hybrid or flexi cap funds.

?

Reduce small cap SIP exposure to 25% or less. Add large and balanced funds.

?

Monitor ELSS performance. Don’t hold old ELSS just for tax benefit.

?

Move older ELSS units to better performing funds after 3-year lock-in.

?

Use a Certified Financial Planner for fund selection and annual review.

?

Avoid investing through apps that show direct funds without guidance.

?

Do not fall for lowest expense ratio trap.

?

Many direct funds underperform due to no tracking or correction.

?

Regular plans give you peace of mind and expert handholding.

?

Start tracking goals – like retirement, home, child’s education.

?

SIPs done without goals often get withdrawn during market dips.

?

Emergency fund must be built separately. At least 6 months of expenses.

?

Do not mix emergency savings and investments.

?

?

Taxation Awareness You Must Keep in Mind

As your investments grow, tax rules will affect your returns.

?

For equity mutual funds: LTCG above Rs. 1.25 lakh/year is taxed at 12.5%.

?

STCG (less than 1 year) is taxed at 20%.

?

For debt funds: gains are taxed as per your slab.

?

NPS maturity is partly tax-free, partly annuity and taxable.

?

Gold fund redemptions are taxed as per type of asset (debt-based).

?

Plan your redemptions with tax calendar in mind.

?

Avoid frequent switches. It reduces compounding and increases tax.

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Rebalance with minimal taxation in mind.

?

?

Long-Term Stability Recommendations

You are already doing great.

?

But to ensure success for next 25 years, follow these:

?

Stick to SIP discipline no matter what market says.

?

Review SIPs every year with Certified Financial Planner.

?

Don’t change funds just because of short-term performance.

?

Add hybrid and flexi-cap funds to reduce ups and downs.

?

Avoid investing heavily in gold for long term.

?

Shift risky allocation slowly to stable funds as you near 45.

?

Use NPS only as a support system for retirement.

?

Track your wealth growth every year without panic.

?

Focus on goals and time horizon, not only on returns.

?

Build Rs. 3 crore to Rs. 5 crore corpus slowly with consistent habits.

?

Compounding rewards patience. Not shortcuts.

?

?

Finally

You are already ahead of most investors of your age. Very disciplined.

?

But success is not about starting alone. Staying the course is more important.

?

Avoid gold fund overuse. Reduce small cap exposure slightly.

?

Add stability via hybrid and balanced equity funds.

?

Don’t switch to direct plans. They seem cheaper but may cost more emotionally.

?

Investing through regular plans with Certified Financial Planner is safer.

?

Continue current path with corrections. Retirement will be stress-free.

?

Stay consistent. Review yearly. You will reach your wealth goals peacefully.

?

Best Regards,
?
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,
?
Chief Financial Planner,
?
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

...Read more

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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