Home > Money > Question
Need Expert Advice?Our Gurus Can Help

How much can I expect to earn from my mutual fund SIP in the next 15 years?

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |6275 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Aug 23, 2024

Ramalingam Kalirajan has over 23 years of experience in mutual funds and financial planning.
He has an MBA in finance from the University of Madras and is a certified financial planner.
He is the director and chief financial planner at Holistic Investment, a Chennai-based firm that offers financial planning and wealth management advice.... more
Asked by Anonymous - Jul 15, 2024Hindi
Listen
Money

Hi Sir, I have started investing in MF in the year Oct 2017 with a SIP of 10K. Distribution - Nippon India - Aditya Birla -3k, ICICI Prudential- 2k, Nippon India - 3k and Fraklin India - 2k...i will be investing for another 15 16 years continuously. current Invest in total is apprpx 8L and Return is approx 18L. How much i can expect to get return in next 15 years.

Ans: You started investing in mutual funds in October 2017. Your SIP distribution across different funds has been consistent. With a total investment of Rs. 8 lakh, your current returns stand at approximately Rs. 18 lakh. This indicates a strong growth trajectory in your portfolio.

Long-Term Growth Potential
You plan to continue investing for another 15-16 years. This extended investment horizon gives your portfolio ample time to grow, taking advantage of market fluctuations and the power of compounding.

Potential Growth: Over the next 15 years, your investments could potentially grow significantly. The exact return will depend on various factors, including market conditions, fund performance, and economic factors. However, with consistent SIPs, your portfolio could achieve substantial growth.

Compounding Effect: The power of compounding will play a crucial role in your investment journey. By reinvesting your returns, your wealth can grow exponentially over time. This is especially true in the later years of your investment horizon.

Market Volatility: While the long-term outlook is positive, you must be prepared for market volatility. Staying invested during market downturns can ensure you benefit from eventual recoveries.

Fund Performance and Diversification
Your current portfolio is diversified across multiple mutual funds. This diversification helps reduce risk and allows you to tap into various market segments.

Review Fund Allocation: Regularly review the performance of your funds. If any underperform consistently, consider switching to better-performing options. However, avoid making frequent changes based on short-term market trends.

Active Fund Management: Actively managed funds, where fund managers make strategic decisions, often outperform passive index funds over the long term. This is particularly relevant in the Indian market, where active management can capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Expectations for Future Returns
While predicting exact returns is challenging, historical data and market trends can provide some insights.

Expected Returns: Over a 15-year period, equity mutual funds in India have historically provided annualized returns ranging from 12% to 15%. Assuming similar returns, your investment could potentially multiply several times over the next 15 years.

Portfolio Growth: With continued SIPs and assuming an average annual return of around 12-15%, your portfolio could grow significantly by the end of your investment horizon. This could help you achieve your long-term financial goals, whether it's retirement, children’s education, or wealth accumulation.

Importance of Staying the Course
Staying disciplined and committed to your SIPs is crucial for long-term success.

Consistency: Consistent investing, regardless of market conditions, ensures that you accumulate units at various price points. This averages out the cost and reduces the impact of market volatility.

Avoiding Market Timing: Trying to time the market can be risky. Instead, focus on your long-term goals and maintain a steady investment approach. Over time, this strategy has proven effective in wealth creation.

Tax Efficiency and Rebalancing
As your portfolio grows, consider tax efficiency and regular rebalancing to optimize returns.

Tax Planning: Understand the tax implications of your investments, especially the long-term capital gains tax. Planning ahead can help you minimize tax liabilities and maximize your post-tax returns.

Rebalancing: Regularly rebalance your portfolio to maintain your desired asset allocation. This ensures that your portfolio remains aligned with your risk tolerance and investment goals.

Final Insights
You are on the right track with your consistent SIP investments and a long-term perspective. Over the next 15-16 years, your portfolio has the potential to grow significantly, helping you achieve your financial goals. Stay disciplined, review your portfolio periodically, and make adjustments as needed to maximize returns.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
Money

You may like to see similar questions and answers below

Sanjeev

Sanjeev Govila  |458 Answers  |Ask -

Financial Planner - Answered on Jun 16, 2023

Listen
Money
Dear sir, this is Iliyas Khan from madhyapradesh, I'm a govt employee. currently I have 50 k salary in hand and I am investing in MF since last november.currently I have monthly Sip in these funds pls give the opinion about my AMC and fund ,risk and expected returns in 15 years.I am increasing my investments by 10% every year. 1. quant small cap fund 2000/- 2. Quant tax plan fund 500/- ,3.Quant absolute fund 1000/- 4,PGIM India mid cap fund 1000/- 5. Parag Parikh flexi cap fund 1000/- 6.Mirae asset emerging Blue chip fund 1000/- 7.ICICI PRUDENTIAL DIVIDEND YIELD EQUITY FUND 1000/- 8.icici prudential equity and debt fund 1000/- 9.icici prudential multi asset fund 1000/- 10.hdfc long duration debt fund 500/-
Ans: According to my analysis of the portfolio, you have hugely over-diversified the amount in numerous funds of the same category. Ideally, we should have only 1 fund in each category. A brief view on funds held in your portfolio is as follows, but please note that selection and allocation of fund totally depends on your risk appetite, objective, investment horizon, and other peculiarities essential for making decision.

I would recommend reducing the number of funds to 4-6 in your current portfolio and increasing your SIPs by 10% or more if feasible based on income increment every year. Choose a fund totally based on your requirement and time frame. This will help you to grow your wealth substantially over time.
1. Quant Small Cap Fund – The fund invests in small-cap companies, which are riskier than large-cap companies. However, small caps have the potential to generate higher returns in the long term only (7-10 years).

2. Quant Tax Plan Fund – The fund provides tax savings up to Rs. 1,50,000 U/s 80C (Only if you choose the old tax regime) with a lock-in period of 3 years, and the fund's performance has been strong in the previous 5 years.

3. Quant Absolute Fund - The Fund is recommendable for investors who are looking for a moderate-risk investment with the potential for above-average returns. The fund's quantitative investment approach has helped it to generate consistent returns over the long term.

4. PGIM India Mid-cap Fund - The fund aims to achieve long-term capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity-related instruments of mid-cap companies. It is suitable for investors who are looking for long-term growth (5-7 years) and are willing to accept some risk.

5. Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund – The fund is doing well in the current market and has the potential to produce significant returns in the coming market but with discipline. It is advised to invest in this fund or to raise your SIPs in this fund since it diversifies your investment across domestic and international markets.

6. Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund - This fund invests in large and mid-cap companies that are expected to grow persistently. The fund has performed well, and you are advised to continue.

7. ICICI Prudential Dividend Yield Equity Fund - This fund invests in companies that are known to declare high dividends. Dividend fund generally defeats the main aspect of growth and affects compounding in the long run. Thus, it is suggested to cease the SIP.

8. ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund - This fund is a hybrid fund that invests in a mix of equity and debt. It is a good option for investors who want to reduce risk via proportionate 20-25% investment in debt-oriented fund.

9. ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund - This fund is a multi-asset fund that invests in a variety of assets, including stocks, bonds, gold, and commodities. It is a good investment option giving a taste of various asset classes in a single recipe.

10. HDFC Long Duration Debt Fund – This fund has durations of more than 7 years. Adding such a high duration in a portfolio is totally dependent on the interest rate cycle. It is not suggested to continue the SIP.
Disclaimer:
• I have just no idea about your age, future financial goals, your risk profile, other investments and whether you would have the nerves to not get unduly perturbed if stock markets go temporarily down.
• Hence, please note that I am answering your question in absolute isolation to other parameters which should definitely be considered when answering a question of this type.
• I recommend you to also consult a good financial advisor who would look at your complete profile in totality before you act on this advice given by me.

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |6275 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 29, 2024

Listen
Money
Dear sir, this is Iliyas Khan from madhyapradesh, I'm a govt employee. currently I have 50 k salary in hand and I am investing in MF since last november.I don't have any other investments or don't have any term/life insurance. currently I have monthly Sip in these funds pls give the opinion about my AMC and fund ,risk and expected returns in 15 years.I am increasing my investments by 10% every year. 1. quant small cap fund 2000/- 2. Quant tax plan fund 500/- ,3.Quant absolute fund 1000/- 4,PGIM India mid cap fund 1000/- 5. Parag Parikh flexi cap fund 1000/- 6.Mirae asset emerging Blue chip fund 1000/- 7.ICICI PRUDENTIAL DIVIDEND YIELD EQUITY FUND 1000/- 8.icici prudential equity and debt fund 1000/- 9.icici prudential multi asset fund 1000/- 10.hdfc long duration debt fund 500/- Please guide me for my investments and other financial aspects may be required in future.thank you
Ans: Assessment of Mutual Fund Portfolio and Financial Planning:

Current Investment Portfolio:

Your disciplined approach towards investing since November, coupled with an annual increase of 10%, reflects a commendable commitment to wealth accumulation.
The selection of mutual funds spanning various categories indicates a diversified investment strategy aimed at achieving long-term financial goals.
However, it's crucial to review your portfolio periodically to ensure alignment with your evolving financial objectives and risk tolerance.
Analysis of Fund Selection and Risk:

Small-cap and mid-cap funds such as Quant Small Cap and PGIM India Mid Cap Fund offer growth potential but entail higher volatility.
Flexi-cap funds like Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund and Mirae Asset Emerging Blue Chip Fund provide a balanced approach by investing across market capitalizations, potentially reducing portfolio risk.
Equity income and dividend yield funds like ICICI Prudential Dividend Yield Equity Fund offer stable income but may exhibit lower capital appreciation compared to growth-oriented funds.
Multi-asset and hybrid funds like ICICI Prudential Equity and Debt Fund and ICICI Prudential Multi Asset Fund offer diversification across asset classes, providing stability during market fluctuations.
Long-Term Financial Planning:

Considering your investment horizon of 15 years, equity-oriented funds may offer higher growth potential compared to debt funds.
However, it's essential to maintain a balanced portfolio by allocating a portion of your investments to debt funds like HDFC Long Duration Debt Fund to mitigate volatility.
Regularly monitor your portfolio's performance and adjust asset allocation based on changing market conditions and financial goals.
As a government employee, you may have access to certain benefits like pension schemes, which can complement your investment portfolio and provide additional retirement income.
Risk Management and Insurance:

As you mentioned, you currently do not have any term or life insurance coverage. It's advisable to consider purchasing adequate insurance to safeguard your family's financial future in the event of any unforeseen circumstances.
Term insurance plans offer comprehensive coverage at affordable premiums, providing financial security to your loved ones in your absence.
Conduct a thorough assessment of your insurance needs and consult with a Certified Financial Planner to determine the appropriate coverage amount based on your income, liabilities, and future financial obligations.
In conclusion, while your mutual fund portfolio showcases a diversified approach towards wealth creation, it's essential to incorporate risk management strategies and insurance coverage into your financial plan for comprehensive protection and long-term financial security.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,
Chief Financial Planner,
www.holisticinvestment.in

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |6275 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 30, 2024

Listen
Money
I have below MF investment. My age is 40 yeats. Risk Apetite is high and time horizon is for next 15 years. 1. Nippon Small Cap - 5000 (started since 2018) 2. Nippon Growth Fund - 5000 (started since 2021) 3. SBI Small Cap - 5000 (started since 2019) 4. Axis BlueChip Fund - 5000 (started since 2019) 5. Quant Small Cap - 5000 (started since 2022) 6. Quant Mid Cap - 5000 (started since 2023). Please suggest if I am on right track to get a good amount after 15 years.
Ans: Assessment of Existing MF Portfolio for Long-term Growth

Current Portfolio Evaluation:

Your existing MF portfolio comprises a mix of small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap funds, indicating a diversified approach to wealth creation. Here's an assessment of each fund:

Nippon Small Cap Fund (Started since 2018):

Small-cap funds have the potential for high growth but come with higher volatility.
Your early investment in this fund aligns well with your high-risk appetite and long-term horizon.
Nippon Growth Fund (Started since 2021):

While growth-oriented, this fund's shorter tenure may not fully capture its potential.
Continuation of SIPs in this fund can provide exposure to growth opportunities over the long term.
SBI Small Cap Fund (Started since 2019):

Small-cap funds can deliver substantial returns over the long term, although they may experience volatility.
Your investment tenure aligns with the fund's growth trajectory, contributing to potential wealth accumulation.
Axis BlueChip Fund (Started since 2019):

Blue-chip funds offer stability and growth potential, suitable for long-term wealth creation.
Given your investment horizon, continuing SIPs in this fund can provide stability to your portfolio.
Quant Small Cap and Quant Mid Cap (Started since 2022 and 2023, respectively):

Recent additions to your portfolio indicate an inclination towards small and mid-cap segments.
While these funds offer growth potential, their shorter tenure requires monitoring for performance consistency.
Overall Portfolio Assessment:

Your portfolio reflects a high-risk appetite, suitable for long-term wealth creation. However, the recent additions to your portfolio may warrant closer monitoring due to their shorter tenure. Here are some suggestions:

Review and Monitor: Regularly review the performance of your funds to ensure they align with your investment objectives.
Risk Management: While high-risk investments offer growth potential, ensure adequate diversification to mitigate portfolio volatility.
Consider Adding Large-cap Exposure: Including a large-cap fund can add stability to your portfolio while capturing growth opportunities in established companies.
Stay Invested for the Long Term: Given your 15-year investment horizon, maintain discipline and stay invested through market fluctuations to realize the full growth potential of your investments.
Conclusion:

Your MF portfolio aligns with your high-risk appetite and long-term investment horizon. By staying invested and periodically reviewing your portfolio, you can work towards achieving your wealth accumulation goals over the next 15 years.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |6275 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Apr 26, 2024

Asked by Anonymous - Apr 25, 2024Hindi
Listen
Money
Hello sir, I have started investing recently through monthly SIPs of Rs.5000 in ICICI equity and debt fund, Rs.6000 in Bandhan Elss fund, Rs.7500 in UTI Nifty 50, Rs.5000 in Parag Parikh Flexi cap, Rs.2000 in Mirae Asset Large Cap and Rs.1500 in kotak Flexi cap Also, I have 300000 in PPF. And I am planning to invest 150000 yearly in it and 2.18 lakh already invested in ELSS funds since the last 3 years and their XIRR is 15.10% today. How much return I can expect in 15 years? What changes I should do in my portfolio?
Ans: It's commendable to see your proactive approach towards investing. Your portfolio showcases a balanced mix across equity, debt, and tax-saving instruments, which is a good start.

Now, looking ahead 15 years is a bit like gazing into a crystal ball. The returns you can expect will depend on various factors like market conditions, fund performance, and economic trends. While past performance can give us some insights, it's not a guarantee of future returns.

Your current XIRR of 15.10% from ELSS funds over three years is a positive sign. This suggests that your investments are performing reasonably well.

As for the PPF and the SIPs, they're both solid choices for long-term investing. PPF offers tax-free returns and has a guaranteed interest rate, while SIPs provide the benefit of rupee-cost averaging and potential market-linked returns.

However, to optimise your portfolio further, we might consider:

Diversification: Ensure a broader asset allocation across various fund categories.
Review and Rebalance: Periodically review and rebalance your portfolio to align with your goals and risk tolerance.
Tax Efficiency: Keep an eye on tax implications to maximise post-tax returns.
Given the dynamic nature of markets, it's essential to review and adjust your portfolio periodically.

..Read more

Latest Questions
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

Close  

You haven't logged in yet. To ask a question, Please Log in below
Login

A verification OTP will be sent to this
Mobile Number / Email

Enter OTP
A 6 digit code has been sent to

Resend OTP in120seconds

Dear User, You have not registered yet. Please register by filling the fields below to get expert answers from our Gurus
Sign up

By signing up, you agree to our
Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy

Already have an account?

Enter OTP
A 6 digit code has been sent to Mobile

Resend OTP in120seconds

x