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How much can I expect to earn from my mutual fund SIP in the next 15 years?

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7758 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Aug 23, 2024

Ramalingam Kalirajan has over 23 years of experience in mutual funds and financial planning.
He has an MBA in finance from the University of Madras and is a certified financial planner.
He is the director and chief financial planner at Holistic Investment, a Chennai-based firm that offers financial planning and wealth management advice.... more
Asked by Anonymous - Jul 15, 2024Hindi
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Hi Sir, I have started investing in MF in the year Oct 2017 with a SIP of 10K. Distribution - Nippon India - Aditya Birla -3k, ICICI Prudential- 2k, Nippon India - 3k and Fraklin India - 2k...i will be investing for another 15 16 years continuously. current Invest in total is apprpx 8L and Return is approx 18L. How much i can expect to get return in next 15 years.

Ans: You started investing in mutual funds in October 2017. Your SIP distribution across different funds has been consistent. With a total investment of Rs. 8 lakh, your current returns stand at approximately Rs. 18 lakh. This indicates a strong growth trajectory in your portfolio.

Long-Term Growth Potential
You plan to continue investing for another 15-16 years. This extended investment horizon gives your portfolio ample time to grow, taking advantage of market fluctuations and the power of compounding.

Potential Growth: Over the next 15 years, your investments could potentially grow significantly. The exact return will depend on various factors, including market conditions, fund performance, and economic factors. However, with consistent SIPs, your portfolio could achieve substantial growth.

Compounding Effect: The power of compounding will play a crucial role in your investment journey. By reinvesting your returns, your wealth can grow exponentially over time. This is especially true in the later years of your investment horizon.

Market Volatility: While the long-term outlook is positive, you must be prepared for market volatility. Staying invested during market downturns can ensure you benefit from eventual recoveries.

Fund Performance and Diversification
Your current portfolio is diversified across multiple mutual funds. This diversification helps reduce risk and allows you to tap into various market segments.

Review Fund Allocation: Regularly review the performance of your funds. If any underperform consistently, consider switching to better-performing options. However, avoid making frequent changes based on short-term market trends.

Active Fund Management: Actively managed funds, where fund managers make strategic decisions, often outperform passive index funds over the long term. This is particularly relevant in the Indian market, where active management can capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Expectations for Future Returns
While predicting exact returns is challenging, historical data and market trends can provide some insights.

Expected Returns: Over a 15-year period, equity mutual funds in India have historically provided annualized returns ranging from 12% to 15%. Assuming similar returns, your investment could potentially multiply several times over the next 15 years.

Portfolio Growth: With continued SIPs and assuming an average annual return of around 12-15%, your portfolio could grow significantly by the end of your investment horizon. This could help you achieve your long-term financial goals, whether it's retirement, children’s education, or wealth accumulation.

Importance of Staying the Course
Staying disciplined and committed to your SIPs is crucial for long-term success.

Consistency: Consistent investing, regardless of market conditions, ensures that you accumulate units at various price points. This averages out the cost and reduces the impact of market volatility.

Avoiding Market Timing: Trying to time the market can be risky. Instead, focus on your long-term goals and maintain a steady investment approach. Over time, this strategy has proven effective in wealth creation.

Tax Efficiency and Rebalancing
As your portfolio grows, consider tax efficiency and regular rebalancing to optimize returns.

Tax Planning: Understand the tax implications of your investments, especially the long-term capital gains tax. Planning ahead can help you minimize tax liabilities and maximize your post-tax returns.

Rebalancing: Regularly rebalance your portfolio to maintain your desired asset allocation. This ensures that your portfolio remains aligned with your risk tolerance and investment goals.

Final Insights
You are on the right track with your consistent SIP investments and a long-term perspective. Over the next 15-16 years, your portfolio has the potential to grow significantly, helping you achieve your financial goals. Stay disciplined, review your portfolio periodically, and make adjustments as needed to maximize returns.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7758 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 30, 2024

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I have below MF investment. My age is 40 yeats. Risk Apetite is high and time horizon is for next 15 years. 1. Nippon Small Cap - 5000 (started since 2018) 2. Nippon Growth Fund - 5000 (started since 2021) 3. SBI Small Cap - 5000 (started since 2019) 4. Axis BlueChip Fund - 5000 (started since 2019) 5. Quant Small Cap - 5000 (started since 2022) 6. Quant Mid Cap - 5000 (started since 2023). Please suggest if I am on right track to get a good amount after 15 years.
Ans: Assessment of Existing MF Portfolio for Long-term Growth

Current Portfolio Evaluation:

Your existing MF portfolio comprises a mix of small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap funds, indicating a diversified approach to wealth creation. Here's an assessment of each fund:

Nippon Small Cap Fund (Started since 2018):

Small-cap funds have the potential for high growth but come with higher volatility.
Your early investment in this fund aligns well with your high-risk appetite and long-term horizon.
Nippon Growth Fund (Started since 2021):

While growth-oriented, this fund's shorter tenure may not fully capture its potential.
Continuation of SIPs in this fund can provide exposure to growth opportunities over the long term.
SBI Small Cap Fund (Started since 2019):

Small-cap funds can deliver substantial returns over the long term, although they may experience volatility.
Your investment tenure aligns with the fund's growth trajectory, contributing to potential wealth accumulation.
Axis BlueChip Fund (Started since 2019):

Blue-chip funds offer stability and growth potential, suitable for long-term wealth creation.
Given your investment horizon, continuing SIPs in this fund can provide stability to your portfolio.
Quant Small Cap and Quant Mid Cap (Started since 2022 and 2023, respectively):

Recent additions to your portfolio indicate an inclination towards small and mid-cap segments.
While these funds offer growth potential, their shorter tenure requires monitoring for performance consistency.
Overall Portfolio Assessment:

Your portfolio reflects a high-risk appetite, suitable for long-term wealth creation. However, the recent additions to your portfolio may warrant closer monitoring due to their shorter tenure. Here are some suggestions:

Review and Monitor: Regularly review the performance of your funds to ensure they align with your investment objectives.
Risk Management: While high-risk investments offer growth potential, ensure adequate diversification to mitigate portfolio volatility.
Consider Adding Large-cap Exposure: Including a large-cap fund can add stability to your portfolio while capturing growth opportunities in established companies.
Stay Invested for the Long Term: Given your 15-year investment horizon, maintain discipline and stay invested through market fluctuations to realize the full growth potential of your investments.
Conclusion:

Your MF portfolio aligns with your high-risk appetite and long-term investment horizon. By staying invested and periodically reviewing your portfolio, you can work towards achieving your wealth accumulation goals over the next 15 years.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7758 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Nov 25, 2024

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Mr Advait Arora, I am 36 Years Old and just got introduced to MF. I have started RD 80K/Month , FD 7.5Lcs, 32.5K/Month MF (SBI Magnum Mid Cap Direct Plan Growth 5k, Tata Small Cap Fund Direct growth 10 K, SBI PSU Direct Plan Growth 5K,Aditya Birla Sun Life PSU Equity Fund Direct growth 5 K,Quant Small cap Fund Direct Plan Growth 5k & Quant Mid Cap Fund Direct growth 2.5k. Additionaly have started LIC INdex Plan 30K/Month for 20 years, 2.5 Lcs / year HDFC ULIP Click to invest 10 years plan and 10 K/Month on Max life Saving an Ulip Plan Again for 5 years invest and 20 years plan . I wanted to target 10 Crores in 15 Years. Please let me know if am on the right track or is there some changes to be made .All this are started in year 2024. I am an NRE working in Middile east Thanks in advance Deepu
Ans: Your commitment to financial discipline and long-term goals is praiseworthy. However, your portfolio requires optimisation to ensure you reach your Rs 10 crore target in 15 years. Here's a detailed assessment and strategic recommendations.

Evaluating Your Current Portfolio
Recurring Deposit (RD): Rs 80,000/Month
Recurring deposits are low-risk but offer limited returns.
The post-tax return is unlikely to match inflation.
Fixed Deposit (FD): Rs 7.5 Lakh
Fixed deposits are safe but have similar challenges as RDs.
Long-term wealth creation is difficult with these instruments.
Mutual Funds (MF): Rs 32,500/Month
Investments in small-cap and mid-cap funds indicate a high-risk appetite.
However, all your investments are in direct funds.
Disadvantages of Direct Funds:

Direct funds require active monitoring and market knowledge.
Any wrong decision can lead to lower returns.
Benefits of Regular Funds via CFP:

Professional guidance ensures better fund selection.
Regular reviews and rebalancing optimise performance.
LIC Index Plan: Rs 30,000/Month for 20 Years
Index-based plans offer limited growth due to market-cap weighting.
Returns may not beat inflation consistently.
HDFC ULIP Click to Invest: Rs 2.5 Lakh/Year for 10 Years
ULIPs combine insurance and investment, leading to suboptimal growth.
High charges during the initial years impact returns.
Max Life Saving ULIP: Rs 10,000/Month for 5 Years, 20-Year Plan
Long lock-in and high charges are similar drawbacks as the above ULIP.
Insurance cover may not suffice for your financial needs.
Optimising Your Portfolio for Growth
1. Mutual Fund Investments
Shift from direct plans to regular funds through a Certified Financial Planner.
Diversify across equity, hybrid, and debt categories for better stability.
2. Recurring Deposit and Fixed Deposit
Gradually move RD and FD funds into debt and equity mutual funds.
Debt funds offer tax efficiency and better post-tax returns.
3. LIC Index Plan and ULIPs
Surrender these policies after consulting with your Certified Financial Planner.
Reinvest proceeds into mutual funds for higher long-term returns.
4. Adequate Term Insurance
Buy a pure term insurance plan for financial protection.
Ensure the sum assured is at least 10-15 times your annual income.
Building a Rs 10 Crore Corpus in 15 Years
Step 1: Monthly SIP Investments
Increase monthly SIPs gradually to match your cash flow.
Allocate more funds to equity-oriented mutual funds for growth.
Step 2: Balanced Portfolio Allocation
Maintain 60% in equity, 30% in debt, and 10% in other instruments.
Equity funds drive growth, while debt funds provide stability.
Step 3: Monitor and Rebalance
Regularly review your portfolio with a Certified Financial Planner.
Rebalance yearly to maintain the desired asset allocation.
Tax Efficiency
1. Mutual Fund Taxation
Equity funds have LTCG taxed at 12.5% above Rs 1.25 lakh.
Plan withdrawals to minimise tax liability.
2. Debt Fund Taxation
Gains are taxed as per your income slab.
Use systematic withdrawals for efficient tax management.
Final Insights
You have a strong savings habit and a clear financial goal. However, some adjustments are necessary to optimise your portfolio. Surrender low-yield plans like ULIPs and LIC and reinvest in growth-oriented mutual funds. Shift from direct funds to regular funds with professional guidance.

With disciplined investing, proper diversification, and consistent reviews, achieving Rs 10 crore in 15 years is possible. Stay focused and work closely with a Certified Financial Planner.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP

Chief Financial Planner

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

..Read more

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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