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Worried stock market investor: Is the market overbought?

Samraat

Samraat Jadhav  |2338 Answers  |Ask -

Stock Market Expert - Answered on Aug 30, 2024

Samraat Jadhav is the founder of Prosperity Wealth Adviser.
He is a SEBI-registered investment and research analyst and has over 18 years of experience in managing high-end portfolios.
A management graduate from XLRI-Jamshedpur, Jadhav specialises in portfolio management, investment banking, financial planning, derivatives, equities and capital markets.... more
Nagendra Question by Nagendra on Aug 14, 2024Hindi
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Does the market is in overbought zone ?

Ans: no
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Vivek

Vivek Shah  | Answer  |Ask -

Financial Planner - Answered on Feb 14, 2023

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Should I invest more in stock market because the market has fallen ?
Ans: Hello Ms Nitika,

First of all as an investor and also managing your family finances, you need to answer following questions before deciding on additional investments in equity markets:

1) Goal or financial goal or purpose of doing investment.
This will matter a lot as a goal of child education and retirement needs to see with different perspective and also should have asset allocation and market cap exposure accordingly.

2) Time Horizon of your goals- this is very important as it will help you to select the asset class and it's allocation based on your time period of financial goals. This is where investor makes biggest mistake of misalignment of asset time cycle and goals time period. If you allign this properly, your journey will be quite smooth.

3) Optimum Return expectations on your capital invested-
If you are saving and investing for some better future to fulfill your goals offcourse you will ask something in return which should be respectable higher returns than inflation for long term period( more than 7 years). If you are investing in India than equity return assumptions and calculations should be based on 12% return expectations and debt it should be 6.5%. Remember that you should assume practical return assumptions ( not the highest or what your friend says) as you can put any number in the excel sheet for your mental satisfaction😃

4) Risk taken on your capital-
Risk is a very negative word being taken in india but actually it's the risk appetite and risk acceptance of an investor which makes his outcome/ returns favourable. Understand one thing that if you want high returns you have to assume high risk and there is no option for it or an investor has to be happy with sub optimal returns if he is not ready to take risk.

Risk according to me is the capacity of a person until where and when he will not have any palpation in his stomach and he can absorb the downside easily( both realised and majority of time unrealised).

You should remember one thing that after deciding on above parameters, TIME IN THE MARKET IS MORE IMPORTANT RATHER THAN TIMING THE MARKET. As an investor, wealth is created over a period of decade and have your allocation to equity accordingly and enjoy the journey of markets which is going to be up and down.

After looking at all these parameters you can think of taking allocations to equity stocks or equity mutual funds and decide how much additional allocation to equity stocks or equity mutual funds is comfortable to you. If you dont have any prior expertise in investing in mutual funds or equity markets, its better to hire an advisor to help you do that or start with allocation in Equity Diversified mutual funds which will help you to take exposure in stocks.

And after all that, i would say it's your behaviour and emotions management which will help you create wealth in the equity market.

I hope this helps. Happy investing

..Read more

Latest Questions
Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |8912 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Jun 13, 2025

Asked by Anonymous - Jun 13, 2025
Money
I am a 28 year old married male expecting a baby in August earning 190000 per month in hand with 50k expenses and currently investing 20k per month in SIPs HDFC Flexi Cap 5k HDFC Midcap 6k Tata Small Cap 5k Axis Gold 4k and 130000 in FD My total savings so far are 1670000 with FD 1115000 Mutual Funds 275000 and Shares 250000 I want to plan better for my childs future education and expenses and also buy a 2BHK flat in Ahmedabad within 1 to 2 years as an investment How do I prepare for the down payment plus EMIs while continuing my SIPs Also how should I improve my investment strategy and allocate 50 to 60k per month in SIPs going forward to meet both these goals effectively?
Ans: Income and Expense Overview
You earn Rs.?1.9?lakh monthly.

Your monthly expenses are about Rs.?50,000.

This leaves you with Rs.?1.4?lakh to allocate wisely.

Current Assets Snapshot
FD: Rs.?13?lakh

Mutual Funds: Rs.?2.75?lakh

Equity Shares: Rs.?2.5?lakh

Total Savings: Rs.?17?lakh

Great to see diversified savings across different instruments.

Upcoming Goals
Baby expected in August—education and early expenses

Down payment for 2?BHK in 1–2 years

Continue wealth creation via SIPs

These goals need careful planning and staging.

Short-Term Goal: Baby’s Initial Needs
Your baby’s first year needs budgeting for hospital, baby care, vaccinations, etc.
Set up a 12-month “Baby Fund” of Rs.?3–4?lakh.
Use your FD by booking a short-term debt mutual fund.
Or split across FDs maturing around that period.

This keeps your funds safe and available when needed.

Medium-Term Goal: Property Down Payment
You want to buy a flat in Ahmedabad in 1–2 years.
Typically 10–15% down payment is needed.
Assume 12% of Rs.?50?lakh flat = Rs.?6?lakh.
You must accumulate Rs.?6–8?lakh for down payment.

Use short-term debt or hybrid funds with 1–2 year horizon.
They offer better returns than long FD and are safer than equity.

SIP Strategy and Allocation
You plan to invest Rs.?50–60k monthly going forward.
Let’s build a balanced SIP allocation:

Large/Flexi-Cap Fund: Rs.?15,000

Mid-Cap Fund: Rs.?10,000

Small-Cap Fund: Rs.?8,000

Balanced Advantage/Multi-Asset: Rs.?7,000

ELSS (Tax saving): Rs.?5,000

Child Education Hybrid/Debt Fund: Rs.?5,000

This totals Rs.?50,000. You can use the rest for top-ups in debt or goal funds.

Why Not Index or Direct Funds
No index funds – they passively follow indices and offer no protection during market falls.
No direct plans – they lack professional guidance and behavioural oversight.
Regular active funds guided by a Certified Financial Planner help in staying disciplined and goal oriented.

Professional Assistance Importance
Work via a CFP?linked Mutual Fund Distributor. They help with:

Goal-based portfolio design

Risk-based fund selection

Rebalancing and monitoring

Tax-efficient investment management

This support keeps your wealth plan on track.

Liquid Asset Management
Your FD and savings can be partly directed toward goal funds.
Break down FD as follows:

Rs.?3–4?lakh for baby fund in short-term debt fund

Rs.?5–6?lakh for property goal fund

Remaining stays in FD or hybrid funds

This transition ensures you don’t fully surrender FD’s safety, while adding higher return potential.

Home Loan vs. Self-Asset
You plan to purchase a flat as investment.
But real estate may tie up liquidity and has transaction costs.
Consider this only if returns and rental logic align with your personal goals.
Even if you wait longer, continue building SIPs and making your own “asset” via investments.

Insurance and Protection
You didn’t mention insurance. For your family’s future:

Health Insurance of Rs.?10?lakh or more is recommended

Term Life Insurance of at least Rs.?1 crore for financial protection

Avoid ULIPs or endowments. They are costly and less productive.

Tax Efficiency
Use ELSS SIPs for Section 80C claims

Plan redemptions to keep equity LTCG below Rs.?1.25 lakh every year

Use balanced/det debt to reduce taxable interest on FD

Health insurance premiums are eligible under Section 80D

Tax planning helps your money work smarter.

Monitoring and Review
Review portfolio with your CFP every 6 months

Rebalance to maintain original asset mix

Stop goal funds temporarily once goals are met

Don’t chase new funds or hot picks mid-year

Disciplined reviews keep your plan consistent.

Allocating Monthly Income
From your Rs.?1.9 lakh income:

Rs.?50k expenses

Rs.?50–60k SIPs

Rs.?20k property/baby goal funds

Rs.?20–30k into FD or balance buffer

Adjust these as your home purchase happens or SIPs scale.

After Baby and Purchase
Once baby arrives and property goal is funded:

Baby fund is done sooner

Reserve shifts to education fund for future

Once EMI starts, redirect part of SIP to EMI buffer

As EMI reduces, increase equity SIP again

This flexible approach adapts with your life stage.

Final Insights
You are proactive, budgeting well—keep it up

Create short-term goal buckets for baby and flat

Build a robust SIP portfolio via CFP?guided regular plans

Avoid direct/index funds—opt for active and supported setups

Use insurance and tax planning for protection

Monitor portfolio, rebalance half-yearly, stay disciplined

Let your money work across goals without compromising lifestyle

With this structured 360-degree strategy, you can grow wealth, fund your child’s future, and build assets while remaining financially agile.

Best Regards,
K.?Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,
Chief Financial Planner,
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

...Read more

Nayagam P

Nayagam P P  |6242 Answers  |Ask -

Career Counsellor - Answered on Jun 13, 2025

Asked by Anonymous - Jun 10, 2025
Career
Sir sathyabama architecture, vit bachelor of design or crescent architecture which course can my daughter take out of these 3 courses.We are residing in chennai
Ans: With your daughter considering three excellent design and architecture programs in Chennai, each institution offers distinct advantages and placement opportunities. Sathyabama University Architecture demonstrates strong overall placement performance with 91.43% placement rate in 2025, 92.57% in 2023, and 93.57% in 2022, supported by over 301 recruiters including Amazon, IBM, and Oracle participating in campus drives . VIT Bachelor of Design shows exceptional placement consistency across all VIT campuses with 77% placement rate in 2025, 73% in 2024, and 92.9% in 2023, though specific B.Des placement data indicates limited core design placements with most graduates securing UI/UX roles in tech companies at 30% placement rate . Crescent School of Architecture achieves remarkable 100% placement rate for both undergraduate and postgraduate programs in 2023, with median packages of ?2.7 LPA for B.Arch graduates and strong industry connections, though overall university placement statistics show 71.26% in 2023-24 and 87.70% in 2022-23 . Given your Chennai residence, all three institutions provide location advantages with Sathyabama offering comprehensive campus facilities, VIT providing strong brand recognition and international exposure, while Crescent offers specialized architecture focus with innovative curriculum and unique campus design near reserve forests . Recommendation: Choose Sathyabama University Architecture for superior overall placement consistency, comprehensive facilities, established industry partnerships, and strong academic reputation, while considering Crescent Architecture as an excellent alternative for specialized architectural education with 100% placement success and innovative learning environment. All the BEST for the Admission & a Prosperous Future!

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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