Hello Team,
I have a question on manage the mutual fund and stocks , I have around 5 lakhs and my goal is for long term , Currently i am 30 and my expectation is when I will be at the age of 50, I should have ample amount of money in my hand.
I am also planning do lump sun for 3laks annually.
My first question is :
-As my yearly goal is to invest 3lakhs , i am thinking whenever Nifty 50 will have 5 % of fall, I will invest 20% of 3lakhs at every 5 % falls , is this beneficial for me for good return in future?
-for making the MF portfolio diversified what is the good way to invest ?
Thank you.
Ans: You are planning to invest Rs 3 lakhs every year. Your idea is to invest 20% of Rs 3 lakhs whenever Nifty 50 falls by 5%. This approach follows market timing, which has both risks and limitations.
Market timing is unpredictable: No one can consistently predict when the market will fall or rise. Waiting for a 5% fall may lead to missed opportunities if markets continue to rise.
Emotional bias affects decisions: Investors hesitate to invest during market crashes due to fear. When markets recover, they hesitate again, thinking it may fall further.
Averaging may not always work: Markets may not always correct by 5% at regular intervals. There can be long periods of growth without correction.
A better alternative is to follow a Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) and a disciplined approach. Instead of waiting for corrections, invest Rs 25,000 per month. If you have excess liquidity, you can invest a lump sum during major corrections.
Diversified Mutual Fund Portfolio
A well-diversified portfolio reduces risk and improves long-term returns. Here’s how you can build one:
Core allocation in Flexi Cap and Large & Mid Cap funds: These funds balance stability and growth. Flexi Cap funds dynamically allocate assets across different market caps.
Mid Cap and Small Cap for growth: A portion can go into Mid Cap and Small Cap funds for higher growth potential. These funds are more volatile but deliver better returns in the long term.
Avoiding Index Funds: Actively managed funds have delivered better risk-adjusted returns than Index Funds in India. Fund managers adjust allocations based on market conditions, unlike index funds that blindly follow the index.
Regular funds over direct funds: Investing through a Certified Financial Planner ensures better portfolio rebalancing and selection of high-performing funds. Direct funds lack professional guidance, which can lead to wrong fund selection or poor risk management.
Lump sum allocation strategy: If you receive a yearly lump sum of Rs 3 lakhs, divide it into multiple tranches. Invest systematically instead of investing in one go.
Rebalancing every two years: Review and adjust your portfolio allocation based on market conditions. This helps in managing risk and improving returns.
Equity Vs Debt Allocation
Since your goal is 20 years away, a higher allocation in equity is suitable. However, a small portion in debt funds can help reduce volatility.
80% in equity funds: This ensures long-term growth and capital appreciation.
20% in debt funds: This acts as a cushion during market downturns. Debt funds also provide liquidity for emergencies.
As you get closer to 50, gradually shift more funds into debt to preserve wealth.
Stock Market Investments
Along with mutual funds, direct stock investing can also create wealth. However, stock investing needs time, effort, and research.
Avoid frequent trading: Holding quality stocks for the long term yields better results than short-term speculation.
Diversify across sectors: Invest in companies across different industries to reduce risk.
Invest in fundamentally strong companies: Look for companies with strong financials, good management, and consistent performance.
Regular monitoring is important: Unlike mutual funds, stocks need regular tracking and adjustments.
If you lack time for research, focus more on mutual funds for wealth creation.
Inflation and Rupee Depreciation Considerations
Since your goal is 20 years away, inflation and rupee depreciation will impact your purchasing power.
Equity funds are the best hedge: Over long periods, equity funds deliver inflation-beating returns.
Avoid keeping too much in fixed deposits: FD returns barely beat inflation and provide poor post-tax returns.
Invest in funds with international exposure: Some funds invest a portion in global markets, reducing currency risk.
Gold allocation for stability: A small portion in gold can act as a hedge against rupee depreciation.
Risk Management and Liquidity Planning
Wealth creation is important, but risk management is equally crucial.
Maintain an emergency fund: Keep at least 6–12 months’ expenses in liquid funds or savings.
Have sufficient health and life insurance: This prevents financial setbacks due to unexpected events.
Avoid over-diversification: Investing in too many funds or stocks reduces the impact of strong performers.
Stay invested for the long term: Short-term volatility is common, but long-term investing rewards patience.
Final Insights
Market timing is difficult and unreliable. Regular investing through SIP is a better approach.
Diversify your mutual fund portfolio with a mix of Flexi Cap, Large & Mid Cap, Mid Cap, and Small Cap funds.
Avoid index funds and direct funds. Regular funds with CFP guidance provide better management.
Maintain a balanced equity-debt allocation and shift towards debt as you approach 50.
If investing in stocks, focus on fundamentally strong companies and hold them for the long term.
Consider inflation and rupee depreciation when planning for 20 years ahead.
Risk management, insurance, and liquidity planning are essential alongside investing.
Following a disciplined investment strategy will help you achieve your financial goal by 50.
Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP
Chief Financial Planner,
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment