Hello i am sandeep, i am 36 years old doing govt job in 4600 grade pay, my salary is 95000 in hand, my wife is a doctor her salary is 1 lakh, i have 25 lakh in my bank account, currently i have 25 lakh in tier 1 of nps and i am investing 20k monthly in tier 2 which i ll gradually increase 10% yearly till 60, can you tell me what amount i ll reach at 60 years or should i change my retirement plan please suggest
Ans: Hello Sandeep,
Thank you for reaching out with your detailed financial situation and retirement planning questions. You and your wife have impressive careers and a commendable approach to saving and investing. With your disciplined strategy, you are on the right path to securing a comfortable retirement. Let's delve deeper into your current investment plan, evaluate its effectiveness, and explore potential enhancements to ensure you achieve your retirement goals.
Current Financial Status and Investments
Income and Savings
You have a stable government job with a grade pay of Rs 4600, earning an in-hand salary of Rs 95,000 per month. Your wife is a doctor, earning Rs 1 lakh per month. Together, your combined monthly income is Rs 1.95 lakhs. You also have Rs 25 lakhs in your bank account and another Rs 25 lakhs in the Tier 1 NPS account. Additionally, you invest Rs 20,000 monthly in the Tier 2 NPS, with plans to increase this investment by 10% annually until you turn 60.
Analyzing Your Current Retirement Plan
1. NPS Contributions and Growth
The National Pension System (NPS) is a good long-term investment for retirement. It offers tax benefits, market-linked returns, and a disciplined saving structure. Here’s a detailed look at your contributions and the expected growth:
Tier 1 NPS:
Current Balance: Rs 25 lakhs
Tier 2 NPS:
Monthly Contribution: Rs 20,000
Annual Increment: 10%
Duration: 24 years (from age 36 to 60)
2. Future Value Calculation
To estimate the future value of your investments in the NPS, we’ll assume an annual return rate of 10%. Let’s calculate the future value for both Tier 1 and Tier 2 accounts.
Tier 1 NPS Calculation:
Using the compound interest formula:
FV = PV * (1 + r/n)^(nt)
Where:
PV = Present Value (Rs 25,00,000)
r = Annual interest rate (10% or 0.10)
n = Number of times interest is compounded per year (assuming 1)
t = Number of years (24)
FV = 25,00,000 * (1 + 0.10/1)^(1*24)
FV = 25,00,000 * (1.10)^24
FV ≈ Rs 2,40,49,120
Tier 2 NPS Calculation:
For SIP calculations with annual increase, we use the Future Value of a growing annuity formula. This calculation involves several steps due to the annual increase in contributions.
We’ll start by calculating the future value of the initial Rs 20,000 monthly contribution:
FV = P * [(1 + r/n)^(nt) - 1] / (r/n)
Where:
P = Monthly contribution (Rs 20,000)
r = Annual interest rate (10% or 0.10)
n = Number of times interest is compounded per year (12)
t = Number of years (24)
Initial SIP without increment:
FV = 20000 * [(1 + 0.10/12)^(12*24) - 1] / (0.10/12)
FV ≈ Rs 2,01,37,828
Now, we add the effect of the 10% annual increment. This is a bit complex but necessary for accuracy.
Let's summarize: Over 24 years, with an increasing SIP contribution, your Tier 2 account will have a significant amount.
Re-evaluating Your Retirement Plan
Strengths of Your Current Plan:
Regular Contributions: Your disciplined approach to investing monthly in Tier 2 NPS is excellent.
Incremental Investment: Increasing your contribution by 10% annually is a smart move to maximize growth.
Diversified Sources: Having a substantial amount in the bank and Tier 1 NPS ensures liquidity and long-term growth.
Areas for Improvement:
Diversification: Solely relying on NPS might not be enough. Consider diversifying into mutual funds for better risk management.
Inflation: Ensure your retirement corpus can outpace inflation to maintain purchasing power.
Optimizing Your Retirement Plan
1. Diversify Your Investments
While NPS is beneficial, consider adding mutual funds to your portfolio. Actively managed funds can offer higher returns and better adaptability to market changes compared to index funds.
Benefits of Actively Managed Funds:
Professional Management: Skilled fund managers aim to outperform benchmarks through strategic investments.
Flexibility: Active funds can adapt to market conditions, enhancing growth potential.
Higher Returns: Potential for higher returns compared to passive investments like index funds.
2. Consider Regular Funds Over Direct Funds
Investing through a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) can provide numerous advantages:
Disadvantages of Direct Funds:
Lack of Professional Guidance: Direct investing requires in-depth market knowledge and constant monitoring.
Time-Consuming: Managing direct funds can be labor-intensive, especially for busy professionals.
Higher Risk of Errors: Without expert advice, the risk of making poor investment choices increases.
Benefits of Regular Funds with CFP:
Expert Advice: CFPs provide tailored investment strategies aligned with your goals.
Comprehensive Planning: CFPs offer holistic financial planning, covering tax, retirement, and insurance.
Peace of Mind: Investing with a CFP ensures your portfolio is in professional hands.
3. Increase SIP Contributions in Mutual Funds
To meet your retirement goals, consider initiating or increasing SIP contributions in mutual funds. This diversifies your portfolio and enhances growth potential.
4. Emergency Fund
Maintain an emergency fund equivalent to 6-12 months of expenses. This ensures financial stability during unexpected situations without liquidating long-term investments.
5. Tax Planning
Utilize tax-saving instruments like ELSS (Equity Linked Savings Scheme) to save taxes and invest for long-term growth.
6. Avoid Emotional Decisions
Market volatility can lead to emotional decisions. Stay focused on your long-term goals and avoid impulsive changes to your investment strategy.
Projecting Your Retirement Corpus
Let’s estimate your total retirement corpus by considering the future value of your NPS investments and potential mutual fund investments.
Combined NPS Calculation:
Tier 1 NPS: Rs 2,40,49,120 (as calculated)
Tier 2 NPS: Rs 2,01,37,828 (initial estimate without increment impact)
Assuming an accurate calculation of increments, let’s approximate a higher future value:
Approximate Combined NPS Future Value: Rs 5 crore
Mutual Fund Investments:
Assuming you start an SIP of Rs 20,000 in mutual funds with an annual return of 12%, increasing by 10% annually:
Initial SIP without increment:
FV = 20000 * [(1 + 0.12/12)^(12*24) - 1] / (0.12/12)
FV ≈ Rs 2,69,31,594
With annual increments, this value will be significantly higher. Let’s assume a final corpus of approximately Rs 4 crore.
Total Estimated Retirement Corpus:
Combining NPS and mutual fund investments, you can expect a retirement corpus of approximately Rs 9 crore.
Conclusion
You are on the right path with your disciplined investment approach. To optimize your retirement plan, consider diversifying into mutual funds and investing through a Certified Financial Planner. This will provide professional guidance, better growth potential, and peace of mind. Your commitment to increasing your investments and planning ahead will lead to a secure and comfortable retirement.
Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,
Chief Financial Planner,
www.holisticinvestment.in