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How do I know which stocks are not good for long-term investments?

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |11157 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Feb 18, 2025

Ramalingam Kalirajan has over 23 years of experience in mutual funds and financial planning.
He has an MBA in finance from the University of Madras and is a certified financial planner.
He is the director and chief financial planner at Holistic Investment, a Chennai-based firm that offers financial planning and wealth management advice.... more
Asked by Anonymous - Feb 18, 2025Hindi
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Hello Team, Please advice from the below stocks which are not good from long term perspective of 3-5yrs with reasons: 1.Bajaj Housing Finance 2.BEL 3.Coal India 4.Dixon 5.Deepak Nitrite 6.Escorts 7.First Source Solution 8.Gareware Fiber Textile 9.Greaves Cotton 10.IRCTC 11.JK Paper 12.Maruti 13.Mazgon Dockyard 14.RVNL 15.Pidilite 16.Trent 17.Titan 18.Zen Technologies Regards, Amarendra

Ans: Your stock portfolio consists of companies from various sectors, including finance, defense, auto, infrastructure, and manufacturing. While some of these stocks have strong long-term potential, a few may face challenges over the next 3-5 years. Below is an analysis of stocks that may not be the best fit for long-term holding.

Stocks to Reconsider for Long-Term Investment (3-5 Years)
1. Bajaj Housing Finance
Housing finance companies are highly dependent on interest rate cycles.
RBI rate hikes can impact lending growth.
Competition from banks and fintech players is increasing.
2. Coal India
Coal demand may decline due to a global shift towards renewable energy.
Government regulations on carbon emissions could impact future growth.
The company has strong dividends, but capital appreciation may be limited.
3. Greaves Cotton
Faces stiff competition in the electric vehicle (EV) and auto component space.
EV transition is challenging for traditional engine manufacturers.
Growth prospects depend on EV adoption, which is uncertain.
4. First Source Solutions
IT services firms face margin pressure due to automation and AI.
The company lacks strong global scalability compared to bigger IT players.
Growth in the BPM (Business Process Management) industry is slowing down.
5. IRCTC
Revenue depends heavily on Indian Railways policies.
Any policy change by the government can impact profitability.
Stock is overvalued with limited growth potential.
6. RVNL (Rail Vikas Nigam Limited)
PSU infrastructure stocks depend on government projects.
Execution risks and delays affect revenue growth.
Limited innovation and scalability compared to private players.
Stocks with Strong Long-Term Potential
The remaining stocks in your portfolio have strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential. However, active management is necessary to ensure continued performance.

Switch to Active Mutual Funds for Better Growth
Managing an individual stock portfolio requires constant tracking, analysis, and decision-making. Instead of investing in individual stocks, switching to actively managed mutual funds can offer several benefits:

? Professional Management – Fund managers actively monitor and adjust holdings.
? Diversification – Reduces risk by investing in multiple sectors.
? Consistent Returns – Actively managed funds can outperform the market over time.
? Tax Efficiency – Mutual funds offer better tax advantages compared to stocks.

You can invest in large-cap, mid-cap, and flexi-cap mutual funds based on your risk appetite. Consider consulting a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) for personalized investment advice.

Would you like a detailed mutual fund recommendation based on your goals?

Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP
Chief Financial Planner
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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I am in SWP segments drawing from my corpus. I understand that SWP is fixed amount but when years go required amount should also go, so can set SWP in units instead of SWP in amount Please guide
Ans: You are thinking in the right direction. Your understanding is practical. Income should grow with time, not stay flat. That is a very important insight.

» Understanding SWP – Amount vs Units

SWP in fixed amount means you withdraw same Rs value every month
SWP in units means you redeem a fixed number of units

Reality:

Mutual fund platforms mainly allow SWP in amount, not in units
So unit-based SWP is not a standard option

» Challenge with Fixed Amount SWP

Your expenses will increase due to inflation
But SWP amount remains constant unless you change it

Result:

Your real income reduces over time
Purchasing power goes down

» Why SWP in Units is Not Ideal Anyway
Even if it was available:

Market goes up → you withdraw more money than needed
Market goes down → you withdraw less money when you need more

So income becomes unpredictable
This is not suitable for regular expenses

» Better Approach – Step-up SWP Strategy
Instead of units, follow this:

Start SWP with a comfortable amount
Increase SWP every year by 5% to 7%
This matches inflation and lifestyle increase

Example approach:

Year 1: Rs X per month
Year 2: Rs X + 5%
Year 3: Rs X + 5%

This gives:

Stability
Growth in income
Better control

» Bucket Strategy – More Stability
Divide your corpus into 3 parts:

Short-term (0–3 years expenses)
Keep in low-risk or liquid funds
Use this for SWP
Medium-term (3–7 years)
Balanced funds
Long-term (7+ years)
Equity funds

How it helps:

You don’t depend on market timing
You avoid selling equity in bad markets
Your income becomes stable

» Practical Execution

Run SWP only from short-term bucket
Refill this bucket once a year from other buckets
Review SWP amount annually and increase

» Tax Efficiency Insight

SWP is tax-efficient
Only capital gain portion is taxed
Long-term equity gains above Rs 1.25 lakh taxed at 12.5%
So gradual withdrawal is better than lump sum

» Finally

SWP in units is not required and not practical
Fixed SWP with annual increase is the right method
Use bucket strategy to protect income
Review once a year, not too frequently

This way, your income will grow, remain stable, and last longer.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

https://www.linkedin.com/in/ramalingamcfp/

...Read more

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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