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Should I Worry About Currency Fluctuations? Anxious Investor Seeks Advice

Milind

Milind Vadjikar  |1238 Answers  |Ask -

Insurance, Stocks, MF, PF Expert - Answered on Apr 04, 2025

Milind Vadjikar is an independent MF distributor registered with Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) and a retirement financial planning advisor registered with Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA).
He has a mechanical engineering degree from Government Engineering College, Sambhajinagar, and an MBA in international business from the Symbiosis Institute of Business Management, Pune.
With over 16 years of experience in stock investments, and over six year experience in investment guidance and support, he believes that balanced asset allocation and goal-focused disciplined investing is the key to achieving investor goals.... more
Asked by Anonymous - Apr 03, 2025Hindi
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With currency fluctuations affecting international transactions and investments, I'm concerned about how exchange rate volatility might impact my finances. What strategies can investors use to hedge against currency risks effectively?

Ans: Hello;

The "exchange rate volatility" from Indian perspective is relatively sharp downfall of the Rupee against the USD in short span of time. There are moments of temporary bounce back but overall direction is downwards.

India imports more then 87% of its crude oil requirement which is priced in USD so our cost of oil imports rise leading to rise in petrol(even if crude oil price is stable, if it rises too then it's a double whammy for us), diesel and gas price hikes.

This fires up inflation for every product and service due to cascading price hikes.

Therefore being frugal in your discretionary expenses becomes important.

Given below are some of the investment options to deal with such events:
1. Exposure to International equity
2. Use of currency derivatives to hedge forex volatility risk.(Mainly used by corporates who have dollar denominated liabilities)
3. Investment in stocks(Indian) that benefit from Rupee downfall. (eg. IT Cos.)
4. Investment in Gold (ETFs/MFs)
5. Use of multi currency account to retain your USD holdings

Best wishes;
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |8600 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Nov 28, 2024

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Hi everyone, I'm Prem, a 21-year-old pursuing higher education abroad, planning to settle in India in 7-8 years. My goal is to beat the inflation & to accumulate at least 2 crore rupees over the next 15 or 20 years through monthly SIPs of 6,000 rupees for the initial 2 years, increasing to 8,000 rupees thereafter. I have a moderate-to-high risk tolerance(60/40 60-safe;40-risky) and am comfortable with market volatility. I'm seeking advice on a diversified investment strategy to achieve my goal, including fund recommendations and tax-efficient approaches. Any specific tips on maximizing returns and minimizing risk would be greatly appreciated.
Ans: It is inspiring to see a young investor like you with clear financial goals. Planning for Rs. 2 crore in 15-20 years through disciplined SIPs is achievable with the right approach. Here’s a detailed, 360-degree plan to align with your goals and risk profile.

Set a Strong Foundation
Goal Clarity: Your goal is to accumulate Rs. 2 crore. This is a long-term goal. The timeline allows you to leverage equity's compounding potential.

Investment Tenure: A 15-20 year horizon suits your moderate-to-high risk tolerance. This provides time to recover from market corrections.

Risk Tolerance: A 60/40 risk allocation (safe/risky) is balanced. It provides growth while limiting downside risks.

SIP Strategy
Start Gradually: Begin with Rs. 6,000 monthly for the first two years. Increase to Rs. 8,000 thereafter. Periodic increases (step-up SIPs) every year or two will help.

Allocation Split: Invest 60% in equity funds for growth and 40% in debt funds for stability. This aligns with your risk profile.

Equity Fund Allocation
Large and Mid-Cap Funds: These funds offer a blend of stability and growth. They are suitable for moderate risk-takers.

Flexi-Cap Funds: They provide diversified exposure across market caps, reducing concentration risk.

Small-Cap Funds: Allocate a smaller portion here. Small caps have higher growth potential but also higher volatility.

Debt Fund Allocation
Hybrid Funds: These funds maintain a balance between equity and debt. They are less volatile and provide steady returns.

Short-Duration Funds: Suitable for stable returns in volatile markets. These can be part of your low-risk portfolio.

Tax-Efficient Investments
Equity Funds: Hold for over one year to qualify for long-term capital gains (LTCG) tax benefits. LTCG above Rs. 1.25 lakh annually is taxed at 12.5%.

Debt Funds: Gains are taxed as per your income slab. Holding for over three years qualifies for indexation benefits.

Recommendations for Maximizing Returns
Step-Up SIPs: Increase your SIPs by 10% yearly. This small increment can significantly impact your corpus.

Diversification: Diversify across sectors, fund houses, and geographies. Avoid over-concentration in one segment.

Rebalancing: Review your portfolio every year. Shift funds to maintain the 60/40 equity-to-debt ratio.

Risk Management
Emergency Fund: Maintain six months’ expenses in a liquid fund. This ensures your SIPs continue during emergencies.

Term Insurance: Get a term plan covering 10-15 times your annual expenses. This protects your dependents financially.

Health Insurance: Opt for comprehensive health insurance to avoid draining your investments for medical needs.

The Disadvantage of Index Funds
Index funds often mimic market indices. However, actively managed funds offer better potential returns. Experienced fund managers can identify high-growth opportunities and avoid underperforming stocks.

Benefits of Investing through a Certified Financial Planner
Personalised Advice: Regular plans through a CFP offer tailored strategies. Direct funds lack professional guidance.

Portfolio Monitoring: CFPs monitor performance and suggest timely adjustments. Direct investors may miss this.

Holistic Planning: CFPs integrate your investments with your overall financial goals. This ensures alignment with life stages.

Tips for Achieving Rs. 2 Crore
Stay Invested: Avoid redeeming funds prematurely. Long-term discipline builds wealth.

Avoid Timing the Market: Focus on consistent investments instead of predicting highs and lows.

Leverage Compounding: The earlier you invest, the greater the compounding benefits.

Finally
Achieving Rs. 2 crore in 15-20 years is realistic. Stick to your SIPs, review your plan, and stay disciplined. Your vision, combined with a strategic approach, will help you beat inflation and achieve financial independence.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP

Chief Financial Planner

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

..Read more

Samraat

Samraat Jadhav  |2302 Answers  |Ask -

Stock Market Expert - Answered on Apr 02, 2025

Asked by Anonymous - Apr 02, 2025Hindi
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I have been investing in shares for several years and have seen good returns, but with increasing market volatility, I'm considering diversifying into international stocks or alternative assets. What are the potential benefits and risks of each approach?
Ans: Diversifying into international stocks and alternative assets can be a strategic move, especially given your experience in financial analysis and investment planning. Here’s a breakdown of the benefits and risks of each approach:
International Stocks
Benefits are as follows:
- Diversification – Investing globally reduces dependence on domestic market conditions and spreads risk
- Access to High-Growth Markets – Some international markets, particularly emerging economies, may offer higher growth potential.
- Currency Appreciation – If the foreign currency strengthens against the INR, your returns could increase.
- Exposure to Leading Industries – Developed markets like the U.S. provide access to top tech, healthcare, and finance companies.

Risks involved in international markets are as follows:
- Currency Fluctuations – Exchange rate volatility can impact returns.
- Political & Economic Risks – Foreign regulations, trade policies, and economic instability can affect investments.
- Higher Transaction Costs – International investing often involves additional fees and taxes.
- Limited Information Access – Researching foreign companies may be more challenging compared to domestic firms.

Alternative Assets (Real Estate, Commodities, Private Equity, etc.)
Following are the benefits:
- Low Correlation with Stock Markets – Alternative assets often move independently of traditional markets, helping mitigate volatility.
- Inflation Hedge – Real assets like gold and real estate tend to retain value during inflationary periods.
- Potential for High Returns – Private equity and hedge funds can offer substantial gains if managed well.
- Portfolio Customization – Some alternative investments allow direct control, such as real estate or private businesses.

Risks involved are as follows:
- Illiquidity – Many alternative assets, such as private equity and real estate, are not easily sold.
- Complexity – These investments often require specialized knowledge and due diligence.
- Higher Fees – Alternative investments may have higher management costs and entry barriers.
- Market Uncertainty – Some assets, like cryptocurrencies, can be highly volatile.

Given your methodical approach to financial planning, you might find international ETFs a convenient way to gain global exposure while managing risk. Similarly, REITs or commodity funds could be a structured way to enter alternative assets without direct ownership complexities.

..Read more

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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