I want to invest in Midcap 150 ETF for 10 years I want to invest in SIP how much per year it will give return
Ans: Investing in a Midcap 150 ETF shows that you are considering mid-cap companies that have potential for growth. Over a 10-year horizon, this choice can provide good returns, but it’s crucial to understand the nature of ETFs, especially in comparison to actively managed funds.
Disadvantages of Midcap ETFs
While ETFs are often seen as low-cost options, they come with certain disadvantages, especially for long-term investors:
Limited Flexibility: ETFs track an index, meaning they can't adjust to market fluctuations. If a particular stock in the Midcap 150 index is underperforming, the ETF can't exit from it. This could hurt your returns, especially over a 10-year period.
Missed Opportunities: Actively managed funds can rebalance their portfolios based on market conditions, identifying potential winners and exiting laggards. ETFs don’t offer this flexibility, which could impact long-term gains.
No Expertise: With an ETF, you’re essentially investing without the guidance of an expert fund manager. Actively managed funds, on the other hand, are handled by professionals who analyze and pick stocks based on market trends.
Why Actively Managed Midcap Funds Could Be a Better Option
For a 10-year horizon, I would recommend actively managed funds over an ETF. Here’s why:
Potential for Higher Returns: Actively managed midcap funds aim to outperform the index. Fund managers use research to identify companies with strong growth potential, giving you the chance to earn more than the benchmark.
Market Expertise: Fund managers make decisions based on market conditions, trends, and individual company performance. This gives actively managed funds an edge over ETFs, which simply track the index.
Dynamic Allocation: Active funds have the flexibility to adjust their stock holdings based on market performance. This means they can avoid underperforming sectors or companies, giving you a better chance of generating strong returns.
Expected Returns Over 10 Years
Over the past decade, midcap companies in India have shown good growth. Historical returns for midcap funds (both ETFs and actively managed) have ranged between 10% to 14% annually. However, past performance doesn't guarantee future returns, and markets can be unpredictable.
For a Midcap 150 ETF, you can expect returns in the range of 10% to 12% annually, assuming stable market conditions. This is based on historical trends, but actual returns can vary depending on market performance.
An actively managed midcap fund could give you slightly higher returns, potentially in the range of 12% to 15% annually, as the fund manager may be able to navigate market conditions better.
Risks Involved in Midcap Investments
Midcap investments come with their share of risks. Here are a few key points to consider:
Higher Volatility: Midcaps are more volatile than large-cap companies. This means that while they offer higher growth potential, they also come with higher risks, especially during market downturns.
Economic Sensitivity: Midcap companies are often more sensitive to economic changes. Any slowdown in the economy could impact their growth, which could affect the returns of your ETF.
Liquidity Risks: Midcap stocks tend to be less liquid compared to large-cap stocks, which can affect the ETF's performance, especially in volatile markets.
SIP Investment: Benefits and Considerations
Investing through SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) is a wise strategy, especially for long-term investments. Here’s why:
Rupee-Cost Averaging: With SIP, you buy units at different market levels. This reduces the risk of investing a lump sum at the wrong time. In volatile markets, SIP helps you average out the cost of buying units, ensuring that you get a better overall price.
Disciplined Investing: SIP encourages disciplined investing. Instead of trying to time the market, you invest a fixed amount regularly, which ensures that you continue building your wealth over time.
Tax Implications of Your Investment
As per the current tax rules for mutual funds, when selling equity mutual funds like Midcap 150 ETF:
Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG): Gains above Rs 1.25 lakh are taxed at 12.5%.
Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG): Any gains made within three years are taxed at 20%.
Understanding these tax rules is essential, as it can impact your overall returns. You may want to hold your investments for the long term to take advantage of lower tax rates on long-term capital gains.
Should You Consider Other Options?
While a Midcap 150 ETF offers exposure to mid-cap companies, you might want to consider diversifying your portfolio with actively managed funds as well. Here’s why:
Risk Mitigation: Having a diversified portfolio, including large-cap and multi-cap funds, can reduce the overall risk. Large-cap funds provide stability, while multi-cap funds offer a blend of large, mid, and small-cap stocks, spreading the risk.
Better Performance: As mentioned earlier, actively managed funds have the potential to outperform ETFs in the long run, giving you a better chance of reaching your financial goals.
Final Insights
Your choice of investing in a Midcap 150 ETF is commendable for its simplicity and low cost. However, for a 10-year investment horizon, you may want to reconsider and opt for actively managed midcap funds. These funds, managed by experts, offer better flexibility, higher growth potential, and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions.
A diversified approach, with a mix of equity and debt, could also help balance your portfolio and reduce risk. Finally, don’t forget to monitor your investments regularly and make adjustments as needed to stay on track with your goals.
Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP
Chief Financial Planner
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment