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Gaurav Garg  | Answer  |Ask -

Answered on Dec 15, 2020

R Question by R on Dec 15, 2020Hindi
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What annual return can be expected?

Ans: A good mutual fund should deliver 12%-14% for CAGR. However these kind of returns should be expected over a long time horizon (10+ years). Also, one should be fully aware of the fact that there can be phases where the portfolio returns can turn negative.

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7100 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 23, 2024

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Sir my SIP - SBI contra fund-2000, SBI small cap-1000, SBI small 250 index -1000, Aditya Birla sun Light PSU -2000, Parag Parikh flexi cap-2000, Motilal Oswal mid cap-2000, quant active fund-2000, total SIPs is to Rs.12000 per month , How many returns to get after 10 years investment.
Ans: Let's assess your SIP investments and project the potential returns over a 10-year period, keeping in mind various factors that influence investment outcomes.

Current SIP Portfolio Overview
Allocation Breakdown
SBI Contra Fund: Rs. 2000
SBI Small Cap Fund: Rs. 1000
SBI Small Cap 250 Index Fund: Rs. 1000
Aditya Birla Sun Life PSU Equity Fund: Rs. 2000
Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund: Rs. 2000
Motilal Oswal Mid Cap Fund: Rs. 2000
Quant Active Fund: Rs. 2000
Total Monthly SIP: Rs. 12000
Factors Affecting Returns
Fund Selection
Actively Managed Funds: Offer potential for higher returns but involve higher risk and management fees.
Index Funds: Lower fees but may have limitations in beating market benchmarks.
Market Performance
Equity Market Trends: Historical performance and future market conditions impact investment returns.
Economic Factors: Macroeconomic indicators influence market movements and fund performance.
Projected Returns Analysis
Historical Performance
Review historical performance of selected funds to gauge potential returns.
Consider past performance trends, fund manager expertise, and investment strategy.
Market Outlook
Analyze current market trends, economic indicators, and sectoral performance.
Evaluate growth prospects of sectors represented in your SIP portfolio.
Risk Assessment and Diversification
Risk Management
Diversification: Spread investments across different asset classes and sectors to manage risk.
Risk Appetite: Assess your risk tolerance to ensure investment choices align with your financial goals.
Regular Monitoring
Review SIP performance periodically to track progress and make informed adjustments.
Stay updated with market developments and fund performance reports.
Conclusion and Future Outlook
Based on the current investment allocation and market conditions, projecting precise returns over a 10-year period can be challenging. However, a diversified SIP portfolio across various asset classes and fund types is a prudent approach to long-term wealth creation.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7100 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 18, 2024

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Hello sir.. I am 23 Years old i have started SIP in Quant Small Cap fun for 5 years as 1000 per month..! How much return should expect.?
Ans: Starting Early is Commendable
You are off to a great start by investing in a SIP at the age of 23. Starting early gives you a significant advantage. Compounding will work in your favour over time.

Understanding Small Cap Funds
Small cap funds invest in smaller companies with high growth potential. These companies can provide substantial returns, but they come with higher risk. The returns can vary based on market conditions and company performance.

Expected Returns
It’s difficult to predict exact returns for small cap funds. Historically, small cap funds have provided higher returns compared to large cap funds. However, they also have higher volatility. Over five years, you can expect higher returns, but there will be ups and downs.

Risk and Reward
Small cap funds can offer impressive returns, but they also carry significant risk. Market fluctuations can impact small cap stocks more than large cap ones. It’s essential to be prepared for market volatility.

Importance of Diversification
Investing only in small cap funds can be risky. Diversify your portfolio to spread risk. Include a mix of large cap, mid cap, and debt funds to balance your investment.

Benefits of Actively Managed Funds
Actively managed funds provide professional management. Fund managers can make strategic decisions based on market conditions. This can potentially lead to better returns compared to passive index funds.

Regular Funds vs. Direct Funds
Regular funds might have higher costs than direct funds, but they offer valuable benefits. Investing through a Certified Financial Planner gives you access to expert advice. They help in monitoring and adjusting your portfolio as needed.

Long-Term Perspective
Investing is a long-term journey. While five years is a good start, extending your investment horizon can yield better results. Consider increasing your SIP amount as your income grows.

Consistent Monitoring
Regularly monitor your investments. Markets change, and so do your financial goals. Reviewing your portfolio ensures it stays aligned with your objectives.

Staying Informed
Educate yourself about market trends and investment strategies. Staying informed helps you make better investment decisions. Reading financial news and attending seminars can be beneficial.

Seek Professional Guidance
Consult a Certified Financial Planner for personalized advice. They can help tailor your investment strategy to your goals and risk tolerance. Professional guidance ensures your investments are on the right track.

Final Thoughts
Starting SIPs at a young age is a smart move. While small cap funds can offer high returns, they come with higher risks. Diversify your investments, monitor regularly, and consider seeking professional advice. Your disciplined approach will pay off in the long run.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

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Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7100 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 24, 2024

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I'm investing monthly 30k for 2 months now in SIP. How much will be my return in 2030.
Ans: Forecasting SIP Returns for 2030: A Detailed Analysis

Investing in Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) is a prudent strategy for wealth accumulation, especially when considering long-term financial goals. Let's delve deeper into projecting returns for your SIP investments by the year 2030.

Evaluating the Investment Strategy

Initial Investment: A Strong Start

Beginning SIP investments is commendable, showcasing your commitment to financial planning and wealth creation.

Time Horizon: Long-Term Perspective

With a 9-year investment horizon until 2030, your approach aligns well with the principle of long-term investing, which is essential for maximizing returns and mitigating market volatility.

Assessing Potential Returns

Historical Performance: Insights from the Past

Looking back at historical data, equity investments, typically the underlying assets in SIPs, have shown favorable returns over extended periods.

Market Volatility: Consideration for Fluctuations

While long-term returns are promising, it's crucial to acknowledge the inherent volatility in the market, which can influence short-term investment performance.

Estimating Future Returns

Growth Potential: Optimism for the Future

Despite short-term fluctuations, equities hold significant growth potential over the long term, driven by economic growth, corporate earnings, and market dynamics.

Average Returns: Realistic Expectations

While precise returns cannot be guaranteed, historical trends indicate average annual returns ranging from 12-15% for equity investments.

Planning for 2030

Expected Returns: Setting Realistic Goals

Based on historical averages, it's reasonable to anticipate annual returns of approximately 12-15% for your SIP investments until 2030.

Compounded Growth: Amplifying Your Wealth

Over the 9-year period, the power of compounding can substantially enhance your initial investment, leading to exponential growth in wealth accumulation.

Conclusion: Optimistic Outlook

In conclusion, your decision to invest in SIPs reflects a prudent financial strategy. By staying invested for the long term, maintaining consistency in contributions, and embracing the potential of compounding, you can anticipate significant returns by the year 2030, thereby inching closer to your financial goals.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7100 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Oct 24, 2024

Money
I want to invest in Midcap 150 ETF for 10 years I want to invest in SIP how much per year it will give return
Ans: Investing in a Midcap 150 ETF shows that you are considering mid-cap companies that have potential for growth. Over a 10-year horizon, this choice can provide good returns, but it’s crucial to understand the nature of ETFs, especially in comparison to actively managed funds.

Disadvantages of Midcap ETFs
While ETFs are often seen as low-cost options, they come with certain disadvantages, especially for long-term investors:

Limited Flexibility: ETFs track an index, meaning they can't adjust to market fluctuations. If a particular stock in the Midcap 150 index is underperforming, the ETF can't exit from it. This could hurt your returns, especially over a 10-year period.

Missed Opportunities: Actively managed funds can rebalance their portfolios based on market conditions, identifying potential winners and exiting laggards. ETFs don’t offer this flexibility, which could impact long-term gains.

No Expertise: With an ETF, you’re essentially investing without the guidance of an expert fund manager. Actively managed funds, on the other hand, are handled by professionals who analyze and pick stocks based on market trends.

Why Actively Managed Midcap Funds Could Be a Better Option
For a 10-year horizon, I would recommend actively managed funds over an ETF. Here’s why:

Potential for Higher Returns: Actively managed midcap funds aim to outperform the index. Fund managers use research to identify companies with strong growth potential, giving you the chance to earn more than the benchmark.

Market Expertise: Fund managers make decisions based on market conditions, trends, and individual company performance. This gives actively managed funds an edge over ETFs, which simply track the index.

Dynamic Allocation: Active funds have the flexibility to adjust their stock holdings based on market performance. This means they can avoid underperforming sectors or companies, giving you a better chance of generating strong returns.

Expected Returns Over 10 Years
Over the past decade, midcap companies in India have shown good growth. Historical returns for midcap funds (both ETFs and actively managed) have ranged between 10% to 14% annually. However, past performance doesn't guarantee future returns, and markets can be unpredictable.

For a Midcap 150 ETF, you can expect returns in the range of 10% to 12% annually, assuming stable market conditions. This is based on historical trends, but actual returns can vary depending on market performance.

An actively managed midcap fund could give you slightly higher returns, potentially in the range of 12% to 15% annually, as the fund manager may be able to navigate market conditions better.

Risks Involved in Midcap Investments
Midcap investments come with their share of risks. Here are a few key points to consider:

Higher Volatility: Midcaps are more volatile than large-cap companies. This means that while they offer higher growth potential, they also come with higher risks, especially during market downturns.

Economic Sensitivity: Midcap companies are often more sensitive to economic changes. Any slowdown in the economy could impact their growth, which could affect the returns of your ETF.

Liquidity Risks: Midcap stocks tend to be less liquid compared to large-cap stocks, which can affect the ETF's performance, especially in volatile markets.

SIP Investment: Benefits and Considerations
Investing through SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) is a wise strategy, especially for long-term investments. Here’s why:

Rupee-Cost Averaging: With SIP, you buy units at different market levels. This reduces the risk of investing a lump sum at the wrong time. In volatile markets, SIP helps you average out the cost of buying units, ensuring that you get a better overall price.

Disciplined Investing: SIP encourages disciplined investing. Instead of trying to time the market, you invest a fixed amount regularly, which ensures that you continue building your wealth over time.

Tax Implications of Your Investment
As per the current tax rules for mutual funds, when selling equity mutual funds like Midcap 150 ETF:

Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG): Gains above Rs 1.25 lakh are taxed at 12.5%.

Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG): Any gains made within three years are taxed at 20%.

Understanding these tax rules is essential, as it can impact your overall returns. You may want to hold your investments for the long term to take advantage of lower tax rates on long-term capital gains.

Should You Consider Other Options?
While a Midcap 150 ETF offers exposure to mid-cap companies, you might want to consider diversifying your portfolio with actively managed funds as well. Here’s why:

Risk Mitigation: Having a diversified portfolio, including large-cap and multi-cap funds, can reduce the overall risk. Large-cap funds provide stability, while multi-cap funds offer a blend of large, mid, and small-cap stocks, spreading the risk.

Better Performance: As mentioned earlier, actively managed funds have the potential to outperform ETFs in the long run, giving you a better chance of reaching your financial goals.

Final Insights
Your choice of investing in a Midcap 150 ETF is commendable for its simplicity and low cost. However, for a 10-year investment horizon, you may want to reconsider and opt for actively managed midcap funds. These funds, managed by experts, offer better flexibility, higher growth potential, and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions.

A diversified approach, with a mix of equity and debt, could also help balance your portfolio and reduce risk. Finally, don’t forget to monitor your investments regularly and make adjustments as needed to stay on track with your goals.

Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP

Chief Financial Planner

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

..Read more

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DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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