Hello Sir
I am Vivek & 43 Year OLD , I have corpus of 60 Lac & SIP of 30K ,Gold Asset 10Lac ,PF : 10 Lac ,Home loan: 7 lac going on .LIC & Term Plans are there Not considered as Investment
I invested 30 Lac as below
Small Cap 4,00,000 13%
Flexi cap 4,00,000 13%
Multi Cap 5,00,000 17%
Large Cap 1,50,000 5%
Large MID CAP 2,00,000 7%
Mid cap 3,50,000 12%
Sector Fund 6,80,000 22%
Value Fund 3,50,000 12%
Also started SIP of 30500 As 1]Nippon Small Cap -7000 2] HSBC Multi CAp-3000
3] Mahindra Manu Mid CAp - 4000 4] Motilal Oswal Mid Cap : 3000 5] 4] Motilal Oswal Large & Mid Cap : 3000 5] HDFC Defence Fund :5000 6]ICICI Prudential PSU Equity Fund -3000 6] Axis Value Fund - 2500 7] PPF -4000
What will be corpus after 5 years ,will it be sufficient if I Quit Job by 48 ,Monthly Expenses is 60K PM
Ans: Vivek’s Financial Health Evaluation
Age: 43 years
Retirement Goal: Planning to retire at 48 years
Monthly Expenses: Rs 60,000
Current Financial Assets Overview:
Corpus: Rs 60 Lakhs
SIP: Rs 30,500/month
Gold Assets: Rs 10 Lakhs
PF (Provident Fund): Rs 10 Lakhs
Home Loan: Rs 7 Lakhs (Liability)
Insurance: LIC & Term Plans (not considered as investments)
Your existing corpus and monthly SIP contributions indicate that you’ve been a disciplined investor. However, the decision to quit your job by the age of 48 requires a thorough assessment to ensure your financial independence.
Assessing Your Current Asset Allocation:
You've allocated Rs 30 Lakhs into various mutual fund schemes, which represent a diversified portfolio. Here's a quick breakdown of your investments:
Small Cap: Rs 4,00,000 (13%)
Flexi Cap: Rs 4,00,000 (13%)
Multi Cap: Rs 5,00,000 (17%)
Large Cap: Rs 1,50,000 (5%)
Large & Mid Cap: Rs 2,00,000 (7%)
Mid Cap: Rs 3,50,000 (12%)
Sector Fund: Rs 6,80,000 (22%)
Value Fund: Rs 3,50,000 (12%)
Your portfolio is largely well-diversified, with a healthy mix of market caps. However, sector funds and mid-to-small-cap allocations seem quite aggressive, especially as you approach your desired retirement timeline of 5 years.
Review of Your SIP Investments:
Your ongoing SIPs of Rs 30,500 per month show a good focus on wealth accumulation. Below is a review:
Small Cap SIP: Rs 7,000
Multi Cap SIP: Rs 3,000
Mid Cap SIP: Rs 7,000 (split between Mahindra and Motilal Oswal)
Large & Mid Cap SIP: Rs 3,000
Sector Fund SIP (HDFC Defence): Rs 5,000
PSU Equity Fund: Rs 3,000
Value Fund SIP: Rs 2,500
PPF: Rs 4,000
Your SIP portfolio is well-spread across small-cap, mid-cap, and multi-cap funds. However, you should review the sector-specific funds. They tend to be high-risk and may not suit your risk profile as you near retirement. Rebalancing towards more stable investments like large-cap funds and balanced funds would ensure that market volatility doesn’t affect your retirement corpus significantly.
Corpus After 5 Years:
Assuming moderate growth and considering the volatility in mid-cap, small-cap, and sector funds, your portfolio may generate decent returns. However, it is important to factor in:
Market Conditions: Your current portfolio is skewed towards high-risk assets like small caps and sector funds. While they offer good returns in bullish markets, they can be volatile during market corrections.
Inflation: With an inflation rate of 5-6%, the purchasing power of your money will reduce over time. Your monthly expenses of Rs 60,000 today may increase to Rs 80,000 or more in the next 5 years.
A conservative estimate for your corpus growth could be in the range of Rs 1.3 to Rs 1.5 crores, depending on market conditions. Your SIPs, with a steady contribution, will play a crucial role in adding to your retirement corpus.
Is This Sufficient to Quit Your Job by 48?
Let’s break this down based on your retirement goal and expenses:
Current Monthly Expenses: Rs 60,000
Estimated Monthly Expenses in 5 Years (due to inflation): Rs 80,000+
If you plan to live on Rs 80,000 per month for, say, 30 years post-retirement, you'll need a significant corpus. Even with Rs 1.5 crores, it may not be sufficient to cover all your expenses and emergencies without further income streams.
Debt Management:
You still have a home loan of Rs 7 lakhs. Clearing off this loan before retirement would be ideal, as it reduces a fixed outgoing liability. Additionally, you must factor in other potential future liabilities, such as your children's higher education, weddings, and health expenses.
Rebalancing Your Portfolio:
Sector Funds: You’ve allocated a high proportion (22%) in sector-specific funds. Sector funds are high-risk, and if the sector underperforms, your returns can be affected drastically. It would be prudent to reduce exposure to these funds and reallocate to more stable and diversified categories.
Small Cap and Mid Cap Funds: While small caps can provide higher returns, they are also highly volatile. Reducing your exposure to small caps and increasing allocation to large-cap funds will give more stability to your portfolio.
PPF and PF Contributions: Continue your contributions towards PF and PPF. These are safe investments that provide consistent, tax-free returns. This will act as your safety net during market downturns.
Balanced Approach: Shift a portion of your corpus towards more balanced funds or hybrid funds. This will ensure that a portion of your investments is safeguarded in debt instruments, providing some downside protection.
Gold and Other Assets:
You have Rs 10 lakhs invested in gold. Gold typically serves as a hedge against inflation and market downturns, but it doesn’t generate regular income. You can consider maintaining this allocation but avoid increasing your gold investments further.
Insurance and Health Considerations:
You mentioned having LIC and term plans, which provide life coverage. Make sure your health insurance is adequate, especially as medical expenses can increase significantly in the later stages of life.
Health Insurance: Ensure that both you and your wife have comprehensive health insurance that covers major ailments and hospitalisation expenses.
Final Insights:
Based on the current scenario, quitting your job at 48 may not be ideal unless your expenses can be reduced significantly. You may want to consider continuing work for a few more years to:
Increase your retirement corpus.
Clear off your home loan.
Build a larger safety net for future expenses like health and children’s weddings.
Additionally, you should reassess your portfolio allocation and reduce exposure to high-risk funds such as small-cap and sector-specific funds. A more balanced portfolio will safeguard your wealth, ensuring a steady and comfortable retirement.
You’re on the right path, and with some tweaks, you’ll be in a better position to enjoy a financially secure retirement.
Best Regards,
K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,
Chief Financial Planner,
www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment