New investor seeks advice on 9 mutual funds: Hold or change?

Ans: It’s great that you have started investing in mutual funds. You have chosen a variety of funds, but your returns are currently at 0%. This could be due to several factors, including market conditions, asset class performance, and time horizon. Let’s evaluate your portfolio and determine whether you should hold or change your investments.

Portfolio Breakdown
You have spread your investments across multiple asset classes: small-cap, mid-cap, flexi-cap, sectoral funds, and international exposure. Here’s a quick look at the funds you have invested in:

Small-Cap Funds: Quant Small Cap and Nippon Small Cap
Mid-Cap Funds: Motilal Mid Cap
Flexi-Cap Fund: Parag Parikh Flexi Cap
Sectoral Funds: HDFC Pharma and Healthcare Fund, ICICI Technology Fund
International Exposure: ICICI Nasdaq 100
Large & Mid-Cap Fund: Quant Large and Mid Cap
This diversified approach is beneficial in balancing risks across various sectors. However, the question arises: is this the most efficient allocation for your goals?

Fund Performance and Timing
Your funds have delivered 0% returns so far. The performance could reflect the current market conditions. Markets, especially equity markets, can be volatile in the short term, and returns take time to materialize. The 0% return does not necessarily indicate a poor investment choice.

Given that you’ve been invested only since May 2024, this is still a relatively short period. Mutual fund returns often need 3-5 years to show significant growth, especially in small-cap and sectoral funds.

Key Observations
Small-Cap Funds:

Small-cap funds tend to be more volatile but have the potential for high returns over time. They can experience significant fluctuations, especially in the short term.
If you have a long-term horizon, holding on to them could be wise. However, ensure your exposure to small-cap funds does not exceed your risk tolerance.
Mid-Cap Funds:

Mid-cap funds have the potential to offer balanced returns by being less volatile than small-cap funds.
These funds usually work well for medium-term investments (5-7 years).
Flexi-Cap Funds:

Flexi-cap funds are diversified and invest across market caps. Parag Parikh Flexi Cap is generally known for strong long-term performance.
Holding this fund makes sense for stability and diversification in your portfolio.
Sectoral Funds:

Sector-specific funds like pharma and technology are more volatile and can offer high returns during industry booms.
However, they are risky and should ideally make up a small portion of your portfolio (not more than 10-15%).
You may want to reassess if these are essential to your portfolio or if diversification into broader funds is better.
International Exposure:

ICICI Nasdaq 100 offers exposure to international markets, particularly the US tech sector.
While international funds have growth potential, they are subject to currency risks and economic cycles outside India. Diversifying internationally can be a good move, but it should be balanced.
Large & Mid-Cap Funds:

These funds strike a balance between growth and stability. They offer exposure to both large-cap and mid-cap stocks, providing both safety and growth potential.
Quant Large and Mid Cap can serve as a stabilizer in your portfolio.
Evaluating Your Current Portfolio
Diversification: Your portfolio is diversified across small-cap, mid-cap, flexi-cap, sector-specific, and international funds. This is generally a good approach to managing risk.
Sectoral Overload: The allocation to sectoral funds (HDFC Pharma and ICICI Technology) could be reduced. These funds can underperform if their respective sectors face a downturn.
Risk Profile: Given your relatively young age (24 years) and the long-term nature of your retirement goal, it’s acceptable to have a higher risk exposure. However, the current allocation might have too much focus on small-cap and sectoral funds, which could be volatile in the short term.
Performance Tracking: Your portfolio’s performance should be reviewed annually. If funds show consistent underperformance, you might need to switch to better-performing funds.
Investment Strategy Moving Forward
Reduce Sectoral Exposure:

Consider reducing investments in sectoral funds like pharma and technology, as they are highly dependent on sector-specific factors and market cycles.
Reallocate this amount to diversified flexi-cap or large-cap funds.
Increase Allocation to Mid and Large-Cap Funds:

Mid-cap and large-cap funds are generally less volatile compared to small-cap funds. These will provide stability to your portfolio.
Flexi-cap funds can also provide exposure to a broader market, including large, mid, and small-cap stocks.
Increase Exposure to Actively Managed Funds:

Actively managed funds, especially in large and mid-cap categories, tend to perform better over the long run due to the active decision-making involved. These funds are more focused on stock selection and can mitigate risks better than passive options.
Review the International Fund Exposure:

ICICI Nasdaq 100 could be beneficial for diversification, but the US market has risks. A better approach might be exposure to emerging markets or other international funds to balance risk.
Regular Investment Review:

Review your portfolio every 6 months or annually to ensure it is aligned with your goals.
Track the performance of each fund. If a fund consistently underperforms, it may be time to exit and switch to a better alternative.
Asset Allocation Recommendation
Equity Funds: 60-70%
Diversify across large-cap, mid-cap, and flexi-cap funds.
Debt Funds: 20-30%
For stability and regular income, consider allocating some portion to debt funds or hybrid funds.
International Funds: 5-10%
Consider reducing exposure to sector-specific international funds and increase exposure to broad-based international funds.
Final Insights
Your portfolio has the potential to perform well over the long term, but there are some areas that could benefit from fine-tuning. The key is to balance between high-risk, high-reward investments (small-cap, sectoral funds) and more stable, diversified funds (mid-cap, large-cap, flexi-cap). Regular reviews and adjustments, along with maintaining discipline in SIPs, will help you achieve your financial goals.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment