Can I Achieve My Rs. 1 Lakh Monthly Passive Income Goal in 8 Years?

Ans: Your current SIP portfolio is quite diversified across various fund categories. It covers large caps, mid caps, small caps, and sector-specific funds. This is a good start. However, let’s take a closer look at each aspect to ensure it aligns with your goal of generating Rs 1 lakh per month as passive income in the next 8 years through SWP (Systematic Withdrawal Plan).

1. Diversification

You have spread your investments across several types of funds—large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, and flexi-cap. This provides a good balance between growth and stability.

However, the portfolio seems to be tilted toward mid-cap and small-cap funds. These funds are volatile, especially over short- to medium-term periods. Since your goal is 8 years away, this allocation may expose you to higher risks. More emphasis on large-cap or flexi-cap funds would add some stability, as these are less volatile.

The inclusion of sector-specific funds like healthcare is a bit risky, as sector performance can be cyclical. Overdependence on such sectors might reduce your returns. A balanced approach with more multi-cap funds would be safer.

2. Weekly SIPs and Small Allocations

Many of your SIPs are weekly, with small contributions (Rs 1500–2000). While this ensures regularity, the amounts may be too small to make a substantial impact in 8 years. Increasing SIP amounts for some schemes, especially in large-cap and flexi-cap funds, might be necessary to reach your income target.

Monthly SIPs, like your investment in TATA and NIPPON India Small Cap, are a better strategy. It gives more time for your investments to grow. Consider shifting some weekly SIPs to monthly mode with higher allocations to optimize your growth.

3. Direct vs Regular Plans

You're currently investing in direct plans. Direct plans save on distributor commissions and offer slightly higher returns. However, direct plans are suitable if you have the time and expertise to review and rebalance your portfolio regularly.

Investing through a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) using regular plans may offer you more personalized advice. Regular funds help with timely reviews and expert advice. Managing a portfolio, especially closer to your SWP phase, requires expertise to avoid market risks. You can get additional support from a CFP who can make portfolio adjustments based on market conditions.

4. Fund Categories and Asset Allocation

Large Cap and Flexi Cap Funds: Flexi-cap and large-cap funds should ideally form the core of your portfolio for stability. They invest in large companies that are less volatile. In 8 years, these funds can offer steady growth with relatively lower risk. Increasing allocation toward these categories will help meet your passive income goal with more certainty.

Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Funds: Mid-cap and small-cap funds offer higher growth potential but come with higher risks. They might face volatility, especially over short periods. You have significant exposure to small-cap funds. This is fine for aggressive growth, but too much can affect your overall portfolio. I would suggest limiting your small-cap and mid-cap exposure to around 25-30% of the total portfolio.

5. Sector-Specific Funds (Healthcare)

Sector-specific funds are riskier as their performance depends on how the sector evolves. The healthcare sector, while essential, can go through phases of underperformance. It's wise not to rely heavily on sector funds for such a critical goal as retirement income. You may want to reallocate some of the healthcare fund amounts to more diversified options.
6. Long-Term Investment Horizon

Your goal is 8 years away, and this is a reasonable horizon for equity investments. However, you need a mix of growth-oriented funds (like mid and small caps) and stability-oriented funds (like large caps). This balance ensures that you maximize returns while mitigating risks.

Your current portfolio leans toward aggressive growth, which is good for capital appreciation but may require rebalancing as you approach your SWP phase. About 3-5 years before you start the SWP, you should begin shifting some equity into safer instruments like debt funds to protect your capital.

7. Tax Considerations for SWP

When you start SWP withdrawals, long-term capital gains (LTCG) on equity funds above Rs 1.25 lakh per year are taxed at 12.5%. Short-term capital gains (STCG) are taxed at 20%.

For debt funds, LTCG is taxed according to your income tax slab. This will impact the post-tax returns from your SWP. A Certified Financial Planner can help you optimize your SWP withdrawals to minimize tax liabilities and ensure your income target is met.

8. Risk and Volatility

Small-cap and mid-cap funds, while they offer high growth, can be very volatile. In a bear market, these funds can underperform significantly. If such a scenario occurs close to your retirement or SWP phase, it can negatively impact your returns.

You must rebalance your portfolio 3-5 years before you begin your SWP. This will reduce your risk exposure and protect your gains. Moving some of your investments into more stable instruments like large-cap funds or balanced advantage funds can safeguard against market fluctuations.

9. Goal Setting and Corpus Estimation

To generate Rs 1 lakh per month through SWP, you’ll need a corpus of around Rs 2.5 crore, assuming a conservative withdrawal rate of 4.5-5% annually. Your current SIP amounts, spread across small weekly contributions, may need to increase.

You should consider boosting your SIPs, particularly in large-cap and flexi-cap funds, to achieve this corpus in the next 8 years.

10. Final Insights

You have a good start, but some adjustments are needed. Increase SIP amounts in large-cap and flexi-cap funds to balance growth and stability. Reduce exposure to small-cap and sector-specific funds to avoid excessive risk.

Review your portfolio regularly, especially 3-5 years before your SWP phase. Rebalance into more conservative options, including large-cap and hybrid funds, to protect your capital.

Consider investing through a Certified Financial Planner who can help you optimize your portfolio and meet your goal efficiently. Direct plans might not provide the same level of advice and support that regular plans through a CFP can offer.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment