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Ulhas

Ulhas Joshi  |284 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Fund Expert - Answered on Jun 28, 2023

With over 16 years of experience in the mutual fund industry, Ulhas Joshi has helped numerous clients choose the right funds and create wealth.
Prior to joining RankMF as CEO, he was vice president (sales) at IDBI Asset Management Ltd.
Joshi holds an MBA in marketing from Barkatullah University, Bhopal.... more
Sukhvinder Question by Sukhvinder on Mar 28, 2023Hindi
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I am 45 and currently doing MF SIP of close to 45k per month for last 3 years. My target is to accumulate portfolio of close to 2 cr in next 10 year. Pls advise how to go abt it. Also below is my current portfolio as I need advise whether I need to change / switch anything on them. Regards//Sukhvinder 1. Axis Midcap Fund-Reg(G) 2. Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund-Reg(G) 3. ICICI Pru Bluechip Fund(G) 4. Kotak Flexicap Fund(G) 5. Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund-Reg(G) 6. HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund(G)

Ans: Hello Sukhvinder and thanks for writing to me. The funds you invest in are good funds and you can continue to invest in them.

Assuming that your investments grow at 12%, you will be able create a corpus of around Rs.1.7 Crore over 13 years. Stepping up your SIP's every year by 10% or more will help you create a larger corpus over time.
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Hardik

Hardik Parikh  | Answer  |Ask -

Tax, Mutual Fund Expert - Answered on Apr 05, 2023

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I am 45 and currently doing MF SIP of close to 45k per month for last 3 years. My target is to accumulate portfolio of close to 3 cr in next 10 year. Pls advise how to go abt it. Also below is my current portfolio as I need advise whether I need to change / switch anything on them. Regards//Sukhvinder 1. Axis Midcap Fund-Reg(G) 2. Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund-Reg(G) 3. ICICI Pru Bluechip Fund(G) 4. Kotak Flexicap Fund(G) 5. Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund-Reg(G) 6. HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund(G)
Ans: Dear Sukhvinder,

Thanks for asking about your financial goals. You have been investing INR 45,000 each month for the last three years and want to reach INR 3 crores in the next 10 years. Let's see if that's possible, considering your past investments.

Assuming you've earned an average return of 12% per year (which is a good estimate for a diverse set of investments), the amount you've already invested in the past three years should be around INR 21.6 lakhs. If you keep investing INR 45,000 each month for the next 10 years and continue to earn 12% per year, you'll have about INR 1.08 crores in 10 years. Adding the past investments to this amount, you'll have around INR 1.29 crores in total.

To reach your target of INR 3 crores, you'd need to earn around 23% per year, which is very high and not very likely. One way to get closer to your goal is to invest more each month. If you increase your monthly investment to INR 75,000 and still earn 12% per year, you could have around INR 1.80 crores in 10 years. Adding your past investments, you'll have about INR 2.01 crores in total. It's not INR 3 crores, but it's more realistic given the risks involved.

Your current investments include a mix of midcap, flexicap, large-cap, and hybrid funds, which is good. But it's important to keep an eye on how each fund is performing compared to others in the same category. If any of your funds aren't doing well, think about switching to better ones.

In the end, reaching INR 3 crores in 10 years might not be possible with your current investments and a 12% return. But by investing more each month and keeping your investments diverse, you can still build a good amount of savings. Make sure to review your investments regularly and make changes as needed.

Best of luck on your financial journey!

Warm Regards,
Hardik Parikh

..Read more

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |11161 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Apr 12, 2024

Asked by Anonymous - Apr 03, 2024Hindi
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I am 50 working professional. Below is my MF portfolio . 1. Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund 2.6 lakhs + 10K SIP 2. PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund 1.85 L Value + 5K SIP 3. Quant ELSS Tax Saver Fund 80K 4. Axis Small Cap Fund 1.85 Lakhs Value + 5K SIP 5. Axis Gold Fund 75K Value + 5K SIP 6. Canara Robeco Bluechip Equity Fund 70K 7. Quant Multi Asset Fund 50K 8. SBI Magnum Income Fund 50K 9. ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund 50K 10. Quant Active Fund 50K 11. ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund 25K I want to build a retirement corpus of 2 crore in 10 years. I am planning to invest around 50K every month. Plus i have. surplus of 4Lakks which i want to invest in few of the MFs above. Planning to exit Canara Robeco bluechip and Axis Small cap soon. Please suggest if any changes you want me to do.
Ans: Given your goal of building a retirement corpus of 2 crores in 10 years and your current portfolio, here are some suggestions:

Increase SIP Contributions: Consider increasing your SIP amounts in high-performing funds like Parag Parikh Flexi Cap and PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund, which have shown good potential for long-term growth.

Review and Consolidate: Evaluate the performance of all your funds and consider consolidating your portfolio to fewer, well-performing funds to simplify management and potentially enhance returns.

Focus on Quality: Prioritize funds with strong track records, consistent performance, and experienced fund management teams. Consider adding large-cap and diversified equity funds for stability and balanced growth.

Asset Allocation: Ensure a balanced asset allocation across equity, debt, and gold funds based on your risk tolerance and investment horizon. Reallocate surplus funds strategically to maintain a diversified portfolio.

Regular Review: Monitor your portfolio regularly and make adjustments as needed based on changes in market conditions, fund performance, and your financial goals.

Consider consulting with a financial advisor for personalized advice tailored to your specific circumstances and goals.

..Read more

Latest Questions
Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |11161 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on May 04, 2026

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I am 61 self Disciplined minimalist. I am now in SWP segment. 4% SWP and step up SWP are all okay and understandable but much worried on flip side which am often not thinking much. Considering next 30 years block 1. Inflation may also shoot up from 6% to 15% 2. Normally market crash once in 10 years assuming 30% crash 3. Recovery phase may take slow say 5 to 7 years 4. War natural calamities etc influence market once in 7 year 5.expected return may hit bottom from 10% With all this sequential risk, the worry is will my corpus empty earlier should I be with half starving and my SWP is good only in paper or any corrections needs to be done? Because when age grows, expenses can't be reduced, only rebalance the ratio from travel to utility like that So please guide me will my SWP corpus empty earlier, and should I do now as preparedness
Ans: Your concern is very valid and very mature. Most people focus only on returns, but you are thinking about risks like inflation, crashes, and long recovery. This is exactly what protects a retirement plan.

» The Real Risk – Sequence of Returns
Your worry is not wrong.

If market falls early in retirement and you keep withdrawing
Then recovery is slow
Corpus can reduce faster than expected

This is called sequence risk
And yes, this can impact SWP sustainability

But this can be managed with structure, not by stopping SWP

» Inflation Risk – Bigger Than Market Risk

If inflation moves from 6% to even 10–12%, pressure increases
Expenses rise continuously, but corpus may not match

Reality:

Inflation risk is permanent
Market crash is temporary

So your plan must protect against inflation first

» Is 4% SWP Safe?

4% is generally considered reasonable
But not “guaranteed safe” in all conditions

In your scenario (high inflation + poor returns):

4% may become slightly aggressive

Better approach:

Keep flexibility between 3.5% to 4%
Reduce withdrawal slightly during bad market years

» Biggest Protection – Bucket Strategy
This is the most important correction

Divide your corpus into 3 buckets:

Bucket 1 (0–5 years expenses)
Keep in safe instruments (liquid / low risk)
This funds your SWP
Bucket 2 (5–10 years)
Hybrid or balanced funds
Bucket 3 (10+ years)
Equity funds for growth

How this helps:

During crash, you do not touch equity
You spend from Bucket 1
Equity gets time to recover

This directly reduces sequence risk

» Dynamic SWP – Very Important Adjustment
Instead of fixed thinking:

In good years → continue or increase SWP
In bad years → pause increase or reduce slightly

Even a small 5–10% temporary cut:

Greatly increases corpus life

This is practical, not theoretical

» Rebalancing Discipline

Once a year, review allocation
When equity grows → shift some to safe bucket
This “locks gains”

This creates a natural buffer for future crashes

» Extreme Scenario Planning (Your Concern)
You mentioned:

30% crash
5–7 year recovery
High inflation

In such case:

Bucket 1 should cover at least 5–7 years expenses
This is your survival shield

If this is in place:

You will not be forced to sell at loss
Corpus will not empty early

» Expense Behaviour – Practical Reality
You are right:

Expenses don’t reduce easily with age
They only shift (travel → medical, lifestyle → essentials)

So plan should:

Keep medical buffer separately
Not depend on cutting expenses

» Mental Model Shift
Do not think:
“Will my corpus finish?”

Think:
“How do I protect withdrawals during bad phases?”

Because:

Markets recover
But wrong withdrawals during crash cause damage

» Final Adjustments You Should Do Now

Maintain 5–7 years expenses in safe bucket
Keep equity allocation for long-term growth
Use flexible SWP (not rigid)
Rebalance yearly
Be ready to reduce withdrawal slightly in extreme conditions

» Finally

Your fear is not overthinking, it is intelligent thinking
SWP does not fail because of market alone
It fails due to poor withdrawal strategy during bad years

If you structure your buckets and keep flexibility, your corpus can comfortably last 30 years and more without “half starving” situations.

You are already ahead because you are asking the right question at the right time.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in

https://www.linkedin.com/in/ramalingamcfp/

...Read more

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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