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Investment from loan - Is it a good idea?

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7270 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Dec 16, 2024

Ramalingam Kalirajan has over 23 years of experience in mutual funds and financial planning.
He has an MBA in finance from the University of Madras and is a certified financial planner.
He is the director and chief financial planner at Holistic Investment, a Chennai-based firm that offers financial planning and wealth management advice.... more
Shailesh Question by Shailesh on Dec 13, 2024Hindi
Money

Hello Ramalingam sir, In below communication, i see advice from one guru that investment from loan is not suggested under any circumstances, but i didn't understand good resoan behind. If i consider n compare investment made in MF (say HDFC mid Cap opportunity growth fund for instance) 5 yrs back from now vs interest on loan (say 10%) i see after equations (profit reinvestment/ compounding) n even after LTCG Tax deduction every year, i still would be drawing a good capital. Isnt it? Am i making any wrong calculation. Plz advice with figures.

Ans: Investing with borrowed money may seem profitable when comparing past mutual fund returns to loan interest rates. However, several factors make this strategy risky and generally unsuitable for most investors. Let’s break it down analytically.

Understanding the Appeal of Investing with Loaned Money
The logic behind the appeal is simple:

Borrow money at 10% interest.
Invest in a mutual fund delivering returns greater than 10%.
Use compounding to generate a profit.
For example, if the HDFC Mid Cap Opportunities Growth Fund delivered 18% annualised returns over the last 5 years, it seems to outperform the 10% loan interest rate, even after taxes.

But the calculation oversimplifies several critical aspects.

Why Investing with Borrowed Money Is Risky
1. Market Volatility Risks
Mutual fund returns fluctuate.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.
A market downturn could cause your portfolio to underperform, leaving you with a loan to repay regardless of the market.
Example
If markets crash, the fund may return -10% in a year.
Your capital decreases, but loan EMIs remain fixed.
2. Guaranteed Loan Costs vs. Uncertain Returns
Loan interest is a fixed cost.
Investment returns are uncertain.
This mismatch increases the risk of financial loss.
Example with Figures
Loan Amount: Rs. 10 lakh at 10% annual interest.
Mutual Fund Return: 18% annualised over 5 years.
Loan Cost: Rs. 6.1 lakh in interest over 5 years (EMIs = Rs. 21,247/month).
If the market performs well:

Investment grows to Rs. 22.9 lakh (18% compounded over 5 years).
Profit after loan repayment: Rs. 6.8 lakh.
If the market underperforms (8% return instead of 18%):

Investment grows to Rs. 14.7 lakh.
Loan repayment leaves you with only Rs. 4.7 lakh, eroding your capital.
3. Stress on Cash Flow
Loan repayments (EMIs) are mandatory.
In emergencies or job loss, this can strain your cash flow.
4. Impact of Taxes
LTCG tax (12.5% beyond Rs. 1.25 lakh) and STCG tax (20%) reduce actual returns.
Loan interest has no tax benefit for investments.
Example of Tax Impact
Without taxes: Rs. 22.9 lakh after 5 years at 18%.
After LTCG tax: Rs. 21.4 lakh.
This reduces your profit further, diminishing the gap between returns and loan costs.

5. Risk of Leverage
Leverage amplifies both gains and losses.
In a worst-case scenario, you could lose your investment and still owe the loan.
Example of Loss
Rs. 10 lakh loan invested during a market downturn.
Portfolio falls 20% in Year 1 (value = Rs. 8 lakh).
You repay Rs. 21,247/month (total Rs. 2.55 lakh annually).
After 5 years, you could lose Rs. 4 lakh or more.
Comparing Scenarios: Borrowed vs. Own Money
Borrowing Money for Investment
Loan Amount: Rs. 10 lakh.
Returns: 18% compounded over 5 years.
Total Returns: Rs. 22.9 lakh.
Loan Repayment: Rs. 16.1 lakh (Principal + Interest).
Net Profit: Rs. 6.8 lakh.
Investing Own Money
Investment Amount: Rs. 10 lakh.
Returns: 18% compounded over 5 years.
Total Returns: Rs. 22.9 lakh.
No Loan Repayment: Entire profit remains yours.
The difference is clear: investing with your own money eliminates repayment stress, taxes, and risk.

Final Insights
Investing with borrowed money can backfire due to unpredictable markets and fixed loan costs.

Use your own funds for investments instead of leveraging loans.

Stay diversified and invest systematically for long-term wealth creation.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Hi , I am 26 year old and contemplating to acquire a personal loan of 15 Lakhs at 10.45% interest with a tenure 5 years. And invest lumpsum it in Equity Mutual Funds giving a Return of about 25-30% on average Example: Quant Mutual Funds ( Midcap, Smallcap, Flexicap ) , Nippon India ( Midcap, smallcap) and Momentum Type Mutual Funds. I am intending to keep this Money invested for a Minimum of 5 years. Please suggest if I should go for it. Also I'm open to hear some better ways to go about investing aggressively using Loan. And also making the most out of my loan eligibility for acquiring gains.
Ans: Taking a personal loan to invest in equity mutual funds is a high-risk strategy and not advisable for several reasons:

Leverage: You'll be borrowing money to invest, which magnifies both gains and losses. If the market performs poorly, you could end up with significant losses and still have to repay the loan.

Interest Costs: The interest rate on personal loans is typically higher than the returns you can expect from mutual funds. Even with an average return of 25-30%, there's no guarantee you'll earn enough to cover the interest costs.

Market Volatility: Equity markets can be volatile over short periods. While they tend to provide good returns over the long term, there's no guarantee of positive returns in any given year.

Financial Security: Taking on debt to invest adds financial risk. If you face unexpected expenses or a loss of income, you could struggle to repay the loan, leading to financial stress.

Instead of borrowing to invest, consider the following alternatives:

Systematic Investment Plan (SIP): Invest a portion of your monthly income in mutual funds through SIPs. This approach allows you to invest regularly without taking on debt.

Emergency Fund: Build an emergency fund to cover unexpected expenses. This will provide financial security and prevent you from having to rely on loans in case of emergencies.

Financial Planning: Consult with a financial advisor to create a long-term investment plan based on your goals, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

Gradual Increase: Start with a smaller investment amount and gradually increase it over time as you become more comfortable with investing.

Remember, investing should be done prudently, considering your financial goals, risk tolerance, and current financial situation. Avoid taking on unnecessary debt to invest in the market, as it can lead to financial instability and stress.

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Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7270 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Dec 16, 2024

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Hi Sir, I need your prompt advice as i need to take decision on the same. I am 55 years and have 5-6 Years in retirement. Post retirement have planning and secure. Now coming to the point that i am staying a capital of state where i pay house rent Rs.40000/- PM. My take homme monthly salary is approx 6 Lacs. My organization have policy to pay 50% interest subsidy on interest of Housing loan. I am planning to purchase a flat value 1.25 Cr in which 80 Lacs Banks are ready to give for next 12 Years . monthly EMI will be 85-90 K and out of which approx 28K will be subsidy and 40K my rent and 5K saving of IT in Housing loan interest . Ideally it will cost to me approx. 15-20 K Per month additionally . After retirement i will sell the flat and square off my balance home loan. Please suggest is it worth of taking ....or i should continue to pay House rent and add 20 K liability in Mutual Fund contribution & avoid Interst subsidy !! Urgent reply please
Ans: Key Financial Factors to Consider
Option 1: Buying the Flat
EMI Costs

EMI: Rs. 85,000-90,000 monthly for 12 years.
Net EMI Cost (Post subsidy and tax saving): Rs. 15,000-20,000 per month.
Rental Saving

Buying eliminates rent, saving Rs. 40,000 monthly.
Subsidy Benefit

50% interest subsidy reduces your EMI burden by Rs. 28,000 per month.
Tax Benefits on Home Loan

You save approximately Rs. 5,000 monthly in taxes on interest payments.
Plan to Sell Post-Retirement

Selling the flat in 5-6 years may or may not yield significant appreciation.
Real estate liquidity can be unpredictable.
Option 2: Continuing to Rent
Current Costs

Rent: Rs. 40,000 per month.
No additional EMI burden.
Investment Opportunity

Allocate Rs. 20,000 monthly (saved from net EMI cost) to mutual funds.
This investment grows significantly in 5-6 years.
Flexibility

Renting offers flexibility in case of post-retirement relocation.
Detailed Analysis
Buying the Flat: Pros and Cons
Pros:

Owning a home offers emotional satisfaction.
Subsidy and tax savings reduce EMI burden.
Rent savings (Rs. 40,000) offsets the EMI.
Cons:

Requires additional Rs. 15,000-20,000 monthly for EMIs.
Real estate appreciation is uncertain over 5-6 years.
Selling post-retirement involves transaction costs and market risks.
Renting and Investing: Pros and Cons
Pros:

Avoids the hassle of a large loan and associated liabilities.
Rs. 20,000 invested in equity mutual funds can grow significantly.
More flexibility to relocate post-retirement.
Cons:

Rent payments continue with no ownership asset.
Miss out on interest subsidy and home loan tax benefits.
Scenario Comparison
Option 1: Buying the Flat
Total Outflow: Rs. 15,000-20,000 monthly (EMI after adjustments).
Asset Created: A flat worth Rs. 1.25 crore, potentially appreciating in value.
Risk: Real estate value may stagnate or decline in the short term.
Option 2: Renting and Investing
Total Outflow: Rs. 40,000 monthly in rent, plus Rs. 20,000 invested in mutual funds.
Investment Growth: Assuming 10% CAGR, Rs. 20,000 per month grows to Rs. 16 lakh in 5 years.
Risk: Market volatility may impact mutual fund returns.
Certified Financial Planner’s Suggestion
Based on your financial profile and goals, here is a balanced recommendation:

Leaning Towards Renting and Investing

Renting gives flexibility and avoids real estate risks.
Invest the additional Rs. 20,000 in equity mutual funds for better returns.
A diversified portfolio may provide more liquidity and growth by retirement.
If Emotional Value of Ownership Matters

Buy the flat only if you are confident about the real estate market in your city.
Ensure the flat is easily sellable in 5-6 years.
Carefully assess the costs and expected returns before committing.
Final Insights
Buying a flat works best if real estate appreciation outpaces mutual fund growth. However, this is uncertain in a short horizon. Renting and investing in mutual funds is a more flexible and potentially rewarding option for retirement planning.

Take a prudent decision considering your priorities and risk tolerance.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

...Read more

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Ramalingam Kalirajan  |7270 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Dec 16, 2024

Asked by Anonymous - Dec 14, 2024Hindi
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I am 47 years old, I am having 13 Lakhs in MF and investing in Nippon India Small cap 20k, HDFC mid cap opportunity fund (15k) , quant active fund (15k) , quant flexi cap fund (15k), HDFC Top 100 fund (10k) - Total SIP 75k per month. I am looking for 1 Lakh per month post retirement, how should I diversify the current SIP and do I need to add any other debt fund or hybrid fund. Kindly suggest. I am having EPF (20Lakh), PPF(25Lakh), NPS(25Lakh) and currently investing on year on year.
Ans: At 47 years, you are actively building your retirement corpus.

Mutual Fund Portfolio: Rs. 13 lakh invested.
Current SIPs: Rs. 75,000 per month.
EPF: Rs. 20 lakh.
PPF: Rs. 25 lakh.
NPS: Rs. 25 lakh.
Your goal of Rs. 1 lakh per month post-retirement is achievable with disciplined planning and diversification.

Analysis of Current SIP Portfolio
Strengths
You are investing a substantial Rs. 75,000 monthly in equity funds.
Your portfolio covers large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, flexi-cap, and active funds.
High exposure to equity ensures strong potential for long-term growth.
Concerns
Overexposure to mid-cap and small-cap funds increases risk.
Lack of debt or hybrid funds creates volatility closer to retirement.
No systematic diversification for steady cash flow during retirement.
Recommended Diversification for Your SIPs
Equity Portfolio Adjustments
Reduce Mid and Small-Cap Allocation

Shift a portion of small-cap and mid-cap investments to large-cap or flexi-cap funds.
Large-cap funds provide stability and consistent returns.
Focus on Balanced Diversification

Allocate more to diversified flexi-cap funds.
Flexi-cap funds balance risk and reward across market caps.
Optimise Active Fund Selection

Limit the number of funds in your portfolio.
Too many funds can dilute returns and complicate tracking.
Introducing Debt and Hybrid Funds
Adding debt and hybrid funds reduces portfolio risk and improves stability.

Debt Funds

Debt funds provide predictable returns and liquidity.
Invest in short-duration or dynamic bond funds for lower interest rate risk.
Hybrid Funds

Hybrid funds offer a mix of equity and debt exposure.
They cushion equity volatility and ensure smoother returns.
Revised SIP Allocation
Large-Cap Funds: 30%

Focus on funds with consistent performance.
Flexi-Cap Funds: 25%

These provide market-cap diversification.
Debt Funds: 20%

Choose short-duration or high-quality corporate bond funds.
Hybrid Funds: 15%

Balanced Advantage or Aggressive Hybrid Funds work well.
Mid-Cap Funds: 10%

Retain some exposure for higher growth potential.
Additional Recommendations
Increase Your Emergency Corpus
Keep 6-12 months of expenses in liquid or ultra-short-term funds.
This ensures you can meet any unexpected financial needs.
Align NPS and PPF with Retirement Goals
NPS provides an annuity component.
Optimise your PPF by continuing yearly contributions until maturity.
Tax-Efficient Withdrawals
Plan mutual fund withdrawals post-retirement carefully to minimise LTCG tax.
Use the new rules: LTCG above Rs. 1.25 lakh taxed at 12.5%.
Regular Portfolio Reviews
Review your portfolio at least once a year with a Certified Financial Planner.
Adjust based on market performance and changing goals.
How This Plan Supports Rs. 1 Lakh Monthly Post-Retirement
Corpus Growth
Assuming continued investments for 10-13 years, your portfolio can grow substantially.
Include EPF, PPF, NPS, and mutual funds to meet your retirement goal.
Withdrawal Strategy
Use a systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) for mutual funds.
Withdraw from debt and hybrid funds first to preserve equity growth.
Steady Retirement Income
EPF, PPF, and NPS offer stable income components.
Mutual fund SWP bridges any income gaps.
Final Insights
You have taken significant steps toward building a secure retirement corpus.

Diversify your SIPs with a mix of equity, debt, and hybrid funds for better stability.

Align your PPF and NPS contributions with long-term retirement needs.

A structured plan ensures you meet your goal of Rs. 1 lakh per month post-retirement.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

...Read more

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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