Will My Rs. 2.50 Lacs Investment Get Me Rs. 50 Lacs After 30 Years?

I am having a term policy whose annual premium is Rs.25000; I understand that I will not get back the premium or maturity benefit. Therefore, I am planning to invest Rs.2,50,000 lumpsum or say Rs.5000 a day over a period of 50 days under STP from my liquid fund. I will not disturb the amount for 30 years and I will take the dividend assuming @ 10% on Rs.250000 to pay off the premium commitment. I also understand, in case of no dividend in any particular year, I need to honour the premium commitment out of pocket. Will this Rs.2.50 lacs investment will get me Rs.50 lacs after 30 years; in case of my survival, the maturity amount of Rs.2.50 lacs is Rs.50 lacs (presumed) or in case of death , within this 30 years, the nominee will get this 50 lacs from term plan and also get Rs.50 lacs from the mutual fund investment after 30 years. Is my idea is correct and investment of Rs.2.50lacs in equity fund will be suffice or should I need to invest more.? please guide and advise.

Ans: Never plan periodic payouts thru dividend mutual funds because their is no assurance about it.

Consider 25K per yr as a protection money(term plan premium) and invest the balance into equity mutual funds.

Had you opted for traditional endowment policy then your annual premium outgo would have been much higher with less surplus available for investing in mutual funds.

Alternatively you can invest lumpsum of 50 L in an conservative hybrid fund, let it grow for 3 years and then plan SWP to meet your premium payment needs.

*Investments in mutual funds are subjected to market risks. Read all scheme related documents carefully before investing

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Ans: You’ve made a wise decision by choosing a term plan for life insurance. Term plans provide high coverage at low premiums, ensuring financial protection for your family. The main drawback of a term plan is the absence of maturity benefits or bonuses. However, the primary goal is protection, and you’ve rightly focused on ensuring that commitment. Your Rs. 25,000 annual premium is manageable, but setting aside a larger lump sum to generate returns for the future is an interesting strategy.

Let’s analyze your approach of investing Rs. 3 lakhs in equity mutual funds to fund your premium commitment.

Assessing the Investment Strategy
You are considering investing Rs. 3 lakhs in an equity mutual fund. Equity funds have historically provided long-term growth, which is aligned with your 30-year investment horizon. The plan to leave this investment undisturbed is ideal, as equity investments require time to overcome market volatility and generate meaningful returns.

However, the dividend option in mutual funds, especially under an equity scheme, may not be the most reliable source for annual income to cover your premium.

Here’s why:

Dividend payouts are uncertain: As you mentioned, dividends are not guaranteed. Mutual funds do not promise a fixed percentage of dividends annually. Even if a fund has paid dividends in the past, future payouts can vary significantly based on market performance and fund decisions.

Dividend plans vs. Growth plans: In dividend plans, the mutual fund distributes a portion of the profits as dividends, which means less capital is left in the fund to grow. In a growth plan, all profits are reinvested, potentially allowing for more significant long-term compounding.

Taxation of dividends: Dividends are now taxable in your hands as per your tax slab. This could reduce your net return from dividends, making it less efficient than initially anticipated.

While dividends could supplement your premium payments in some years, it’s important to have a backup plan for years when dividends are lower than expected. You’ve acknowledged this uncertainty and your intention to honor the premium payments, which is a sound approach.

Evaluating the 30-Year Investment Horizon
Your 30-year time horizon is excellent for equity investments. Over such a long period, equity mutual funds have the potential to generate substantial returns through the power of compounding. While market fluctuations will happen, they generally even out over extended periods, favoring patient investors.

However, you’ve set a goal of achieving Rs. 50 lakhs after 30 years, which is possible but not guaranteed. Let’s review the factors that could affect this goal:

Market conditions: Over 30 years, markets go through cycles of ups and downs. Historically, equity markets have grown, but predicting exact returns is difficult. You may need to review your investment periodically to ensure it’s on track to meet your goals.

Fund performance: Actively managed mutual funds can outperform or underperform based on the fund manager’s decisions. It’s essential to pick a consistent performer and periodically evaluate its performance against benchmarks.

Inflation: Don’t forget inflation. Over 30 years, the purchasing power of money can decrease significantly. The Rs. 50 lakhs you’re targeting may not have the same value in the future. Therefore, aiming for a higher corpus may be wise to maintain the same purchasing power.

Why Equity Mutual Funds are a Good Choice
You’ve opted for equity mutual funds, which is a good decision for long-term wealth creation. Here are some key benefits:

High potential returns: Equity funds, especially diversified ones, have historically provided higher returns than debt or fixed-income options. This makes them suitable for long-term goals like yours.

Professional management: By investing in an actively managed mutual fund, you’re relying on a professional fund manager to make investment decisions on your behalf. This can be beneficial, as they have the expertise and resources to make informed choices.

Diversification: Equity mutual funds invest in a variety of stocks across sectors, reducing the risk of poor performance from any one sector or company affecting your overall investment.

However, it’s important to avoid relying solely on historical dividends as a source of income. Dividends are not guaranteed, and equity funds are primarily designed for growth rather than regular income.

Alternative Strategies to Consider
Given that dividends from mutual funds can be unpredictable, it’s wise to consider a growth plan instead of a dividend plan. Here’s why:

Power of compounding: In a growth plan, the returns are reinvested, allowing your investment to grow more effectively over time. The compounding effect is amplified over 30 years, giving you a better chance of reaching your Rs. 50 lakh goal.

Tax efficiency: Growth plans are also more tax-efficient than dividend plans. You won’t have to worry about paying tax on dividends each year. Instead, you’ll only pay capital gains tax when you redeem your investment, and long-term capital gains on equity are taxed at a lower rate.

Greater flexibility: With a growth plan, you can choose when to redeem your investment, giving you more control over when you pay taxes and use the money.

Consider setting aside the Rs. 3 lakhs in a growth plan and reviewing it every few years. This will allow you to adjust your investment strategy if necessary, ensuring that you stay on track for your Rs. 50 lakh goal.

Backup Plan for Premium Commitments
Since dividends are uncertain, it’s wise to have a backup plan for covering your Rs. 25,000 annual premium. Here are a few options:

Use surplus income: If you have surplus income from other sources, set aside a portion of it each year to cover the premium. This ensures that your premium payments are covered, even if the dividends fall short.

SIP in a debt fund: You can consider starting a small Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) in a debt fund or liquid fund. This can act as a safety net in case dividends are insufficient in any year. Debt funds are more stable and can provide moderate returns with lower risk than equity funds.

Emergency fund: If you don’t already have one, consider building an emergency fund. This can provide you with liquidity to meet your insurance premium payments in case of a financial shortfall in any given year.

Regular Review of Investments
Investing with a long-term horizon is excellent, but it’s equally important to review your investments regularly. Here’s what you should do:

Annual performance review: Check your mutual fund’s performance every year. If the fund is consistently underperforming, consider switching to another fund with better prospects.

Rebalance if necessary: Over time, your risk profile might change, or market conditions might shift. In such cases, you may need to rebalance your portfolio to align with your goals.

Stay updated with your financial goals: As time passes, your financial goals may change. You might decide you need more than Rs. 50 lakhs, or you might achieve this goal sooner than expected. Be flexible and adjust your strategy accordingly.

Building a Diversified Portfolio
While equity mutual funds are a good choice for long-term growth, it’s important not to put all your eggs in one basket. Diversification can help reduce risk and improve the stability of your portfolio. Here’s how you can diversify:

Equity funds: Continue to invest in equity funds for long-term growth. However, consider diversifying across different types of equity funds (large-cap, mid-cap, multi-cap) to reduce risk.

Debt funds: You can allocate a small portion of your portfolio to debt funds for stability. These funds are less volatile and provide more predictable returns than equity funds.

Gold: Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation and market volatility. You could allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to gold to add an element of safety.

PPF or EPF: If you aren’t already contributing to a Public Provident Fund (PPF) or Employees’ Provident Fund (EPF), consider these options. They provide a fixed return and can act as a stable part of your long-term financial plan.

Final Insights
Your idea of investing Rs. 3 lakhs in equity mutual funds for 30 years is a sound one, provided you manage expectations around dividends and market performance. A growth plan might be a more efficient option, allowing you to build a corpus through the power of compounding. At the same time, ensure you have a backup plan for premium payments, such as using surplus income or maintaining an emergency fund.

Remember, the key to successful investing is patience, regular review, and staying adaptable to changing circumstances.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in