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Investing Expert: Will my 1.1 Crore corpus last 15 years with 90k monthly withdrawal and 10% annual growth?

Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |8103 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Feb 14, 2025

Ramalingam Kalirajan has over 23 years of experience in mutual funds and financial planning.
He has an MBA in finance from the University of Madras and is a certified financial planner.
He is the director and chief financial planner at Holistic Investment, a Chennai-based firm that offers financial planning and wealth management advice.... more
Amit Question by Amit on Feb 09, 2025Hindi
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I have a corpus of 1,10,00,000.I decide to withdraw 90000 per month from my Corpus. Also putting my corpus on growth of 10%. Also each year I want to increase my withdrawal by 4%. So what will be my corpus after 15years ?

Ans: Your question is important. You want to withdraw Rs 90,000 per month from Rs 1.1 crore. You also want a 10% growth rate and a 4% increase in withdrawal each year. Let’s analyse how long your corpus will last and what happens after 15 years.

Your plan is well thought out. You have set a growth expectation and a rising withdrawal plan. However, it is important to evaluate the impact on your corpus over time.

Let’s break this into key areas.

Current Financial Setup
You have Rs 1.1 crore in your corpus.

You plan to withdraw Rs 90,000 per month.

You expect your corpus to grow at 10% per year.

You want to increase withdrawals by 4% every year.

This strategy must balance returns and withdrawals. The goal is to ensure long-term stability.

Understanding the Impact of Withdrawals
Your initial withdrawal of Rs 90,000 per month totals Rs 10.8 lakh per year.

This increases by 4% yearly, making it Rs 11.23 lakh in the second year.

By the 15th year, your annual withdrawal will be much higher.

Your corpus must grow faster than your withdrawals. Otherwise, your money will deplete over time.

Will Your Corpus Last?
If your corpus grows at 10% per year, it generates income.

Your withdrawals also grow, reducing the invested amount.

By year 15, your total withdrawals will be much higher than in the initial years.

If your investment delivers consistent 10% returns, your corpus will likely last beyond 15 years. However, if market fluctuations reduce returns, you may face shortfalls.

Key Risks to Consider
Market Fluctuations: A 10% return is not guaranteed every year. Some years may see lower returns.

Inflation Impact: Inflation can reduce your purchasing power. The real growth of your corpus matters more than nominal returns.

Taxation: Withdrawals may attract tax depending on your investment type. Plan accordingly.

How to Strengthen Your Plan
To improve the longevity of your corpus, follow these steps:

1. Diversify Investments
Invest in a mix of high-growth and stable options.

Equity funds can provide growth, while debt funds ensure stability.

A mix of 60% equity and 40% debt may balance risk and returns.

2. Adjust Withdrawals in Market Downturns
In years when markets perform poorly, consider reducing your withdrawals slightly.

This ensures your corpus lasts longer.

3. Keep a Cash Reserve
Maintain at least 1-2 years of withdrawals in a liquid fund.

This avoids selling investments in a bad market phase.

4. Review Your Plan Annually
Reassess your corpus growth and withdrawals every year.

Make small adjustments based on actual returns.

A CFP can guide you in optimising your withdrawal strategy.

Alternative Strategies for Better Results
If you want your corpus to last longer, consider these:

1. Reduce Initial Withdrawal Rate
Instead of starting with Rs 90,000 per month, begin with Rs 75,000.

This minor change can significantly increase the corpus life.

2. Invest in Actively Managed Mutual Funds
Actively managed mutual funds can provide better returns than index funds.

These funds aim to outperform market returns through expert management.

They also help in handling market volatility better.

3. Invest Through a Certified Financial Planner
Investing through a CFP ensures professional fund management.

Direct mutual funds lack advisory support, which can impact decision-making.

A CFP helps in fund selection, rebalancing, and withdrawal planning.

Final Insights
Your corpus of Rs 1.1 crore is strong, but withdrawals must be planned carefully.

A 10% return expectation is reasonable but not guaranteed every year.

Increasing withdrawals by 4% annually will put pressure on the corpus in later years.

Diversifying investments and maintaining liquidity can improve sustainability.

Regularly reviewing your plan ensures long-term financial security.

Working with a CFP can optimise returns and protect your wealth.

Your strategy is good, but small adjustments can make it even better. The goal is to ensure financial stability for 15+ years.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP

Chief Financial Planner

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment
DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information to be as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision.
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Ramalingam

Ramalingam Kalirajan  |8103 Answers  |Ask -

Mutual Funds, Financial Planning Expert - Answered on Apr 24, 2024

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Hello. I have a SIP of Rs 58,000 per month across large, flexi, mid and small caps whose value is now Rs 16.5 lakhs. I intend to continue investing the same amount of Rs 58,000 per month for the next 15 years. Assuming a return of 10% , how much corpus can I expect to build at the end of the 15th year? Thank you
Ans: Embarking on a journey of consistent investing, much like planting a tree, requires patience, commitment, and foresight. Your disciplined approach of investing Rs 58,000 per month across various equity categories is commendable and lays a strong foundation for your financial future.

Assuming an average annual return of 10%, which is a realistic expectation for equity investments over the long term, let's envision the potential growth of your investment. The power of compounding, often likened to a snowball rolling down a hill, gathers momentum over time, amplifying your returns.

Over a 15-year horizon, with a monthly investment of Rs 58,000 and an assumed annual return of 10%, you can expect to build a substantial corpus. While the exact amount can vary due to market fluctuations, approximately, you could potentially accumulate a corpus of around Rs 2.5 crores by the end of the 15th year.

Remember, while these projections offer a glimpse into the future, the journey of investing is filled with twists and turns. Regularly reviewing and adjusting your investment strategy with a Certified Financial Planner can help navigate the path ahead, ensuring you stay on course towards achieving your financial goals. Keep nurturing your investment tree with care and patience, and watch it flourish over time.

..Read more

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I AM THINKING OF TAKING A LOAN OF 5,00,000 AGAINST MY CURRENT MUTUAL FUND MOTILAL OSWAL SMALL CAP FUND AND REINVEST IT IN SAME FUND FOR NEXT 3 YEARS. I DON'T WANT LIQUIDITY FOR NEXT 3-4 YEARS. SEEING THE MARKET IS LOW RIGHT NOW CAN I EXPECT A REURN? SHOULD I CONSIDER THIS OPTION?
Ans: Taking a loan against your mutual funds and reinvesting in the same fund may seem like an opportunity to maximise gains. However, this strategy carries significant risks.

Key Risks to Consider
1. Market Uncertainty
Small-cap funds are highly volatile.
A temporary market correction doesn’t guarantee strong returns in the next 3 years.
If the fund underperforms, you could face both a loan repayment burden and lower returns.
2. Interest Cost vs. Expected Returns
Loan interest rates on mutual fund pledges typically range from 9-12% per annum.
Your small-cap fund must generate higher returns than the loan rate to make this strategy profitable.
If the fund returns below 12% CAGR, your effective gains will be negligible or negative.
3. Forced Liquidation Risk
If the market corrects further, your lender may sell your pledged mutual fund units to recover the loan.
This could happen at a loss, forcing you to exit at a lower NAV.
4. Overexposure to a Single Fund
Investing additional money into the same small-cap fund increases concentration risk.
Instead, diversification across flexi-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap funds is better.
Alternative Approaches
Instead of taking a loan, consider:

SIP Investment Strategy

Continue SIPs in a staggered manner rather than a lump-sum reinvestment.
This reduces the risk of investing at an unfavourable price.
Diversified Portfolio Allocation

If markets recover, large-caps and flexi-caps may rebound earlier than small-caps.
Diversifying into these categories will balance returns and risk.
Rebalancing Your Current Portfolio

If you have underperforming funds, consider shifting money to stronger funds.
This avoids borrowing costs and interest rate risks.
Final Insights
Taking a loan against your mutual fund for reinvestment is not advisable due to the high risk of market downturns, interest costs, and forced liquidation. Instead, a disciplined SIP approach in diversified funds will offer better risk-adjusted returns.

Best Regards,

K. Ramalingam, MBA, CFP,

Chief Financial Planner,

www.holisticinvestment.in
https://www.youtube.com/@HolisticInvestment

...Read more

DISCLAIMER: The content of this post by the expert is the personal view of the rediffGURU. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related document carefully before investing. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Users are advised to pursue the information provided by the rediffGURU only as a source of information and as a point of reference and to rely on their own judgement when making a decision. RediffGURUS is an intermediary as per India's Information Technology Act.

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